Will Ethereum hit $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket market tracks whether Ethereum reaches $1,000 or lower at any point before the deadline. The live Yes price represents the market's implied probability, while the final outcome depends on Binance ETH/USDT data.

What price triggers a Yes resolution?

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle has a final Low price equal to or below $1,000 during the specified period.

What source determines the Ethereum $1,000 market outcome?

Resolution uses Binance's ETH/USDT trading pair and its one-minute chart data. The relevant field is the candle's final Low price.

When does the Ethereum dip prediction market resolve?

The observation period runs from November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET through December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at 05:00 UTC.

Does Ethereum need to stay below $1,000 to resolve Yes?

No. A single qualifying one-minute candle is enough. If its recorded Low is $1,000 or lower, the market resolves Yes even if ETH later recovers.

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Ethereum prediction market asks whether ETH will dip to $1,000 or lower by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle records a final low of $1,000 or below during the market window; otherwise, it resolves No. Check the live market price for the latest implied odds and smart-money activity.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,041.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,124 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,116 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$2,926 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$2,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,659 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,275 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Serial crypto cross-market bettor

High-score alert from a serial cross-market crypto trader closing a No position, equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢, with a strong historical hit rate but negative lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 41 of 42 resolved bets and has traded across 37 markets.
They are active across related ETH markets, with $31k positioned in this event and $436k traded across similar setups.
Selling No at 72¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢, signaling reduced confidence that ETH avoids $1,000.

$14,437 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,603 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable bettor fading ETH crash

Profitable 75% winner is effectively buying No on an ETH $1,000 crash market, though the edge signal is modest.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $10.7k lifetime.
They are effectively buying No at 72¢, betting ETH will not touch $1,000 by the end of 2026.
The track record is positive, but the signal is modest with only 16 resolved bets.

$1,037 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

91% winner cross-market whale

A high-win-rate wallet is making a $19.3k NO buy as part of an $81.7k cross-market position against major ETH downside.

This bettor has won 91% of resolved trades and is profitable across 46 outcomes.
They are building a larger $81.7k thesis across 3 related markets, not just making a one-off bet.
Entry at 75¢ means they are backing ETH not to hit $1,000 before the deadline.

$19,316 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%