What price source determines the Bitcoin $95K market?

The market uses Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices as the resolution source. Price action before the market was created does not count.

When does the Bitcoin $95,000 prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, after the December 31, 2026 deadline has passed.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this BTC market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,000 in smart money exposure across 1 signal for this market, including alerts related to sharp BTC cross-market betting and profitable BTC thesis activity.

How can traders use this Bitcoin Polymarket page?

Traders can use this page to monitor prediction market odds, smart money signals, and resolution criteria for whether BTC reaches $95,000 by the end of 2026.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Q: Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a final High price of $95,000 or higher before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If that does not happen, it resolves to No.

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026, based on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high at or above that level after the market’s creation. It resolves on January 1, 2027, and PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money activity across 1 signal tied to this BTC price target.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,000.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable BTC thesis bettor

A profitable 83% winner is building a bearish Bitcoin 2026 thesis across three related markets, including $2,000 on No here.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1,858 lifetime.
They have put $6,206 across three related Bitcoin markets, all pointing to a bearish 2026 view.
Entry at 84¢ is a high-probability bet that Bitcoin does not touch $95,000 by the deadline.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable BTC bear thesis

Profitable wallet is building a consistent cross-market BTC bear thesis, with this $3k NO buy large relative to recent activity in a thin market.

This bettor is up $5.5k lifetime and has won 70% of 27 resolved bets.
They have put $15.8k across 3 related BTC markets, all pointing to the same thesis.
This $3k buy was large for a quiet market, equal to about 2x recent 24h volume flagged by the detector.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp BTC cross-market bettor

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is putting $101k across related Bitcoin 2026 price-threshold markets, including buying No here in a thin market.

This bettor has won 81% of 182 resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
They have placed $101k across 6 related Bitcoin markets, showing a clear bearish thesis on high BTC targets.
This $2k buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, in a market with only $3.9k total volume.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%