Part of: France vs. Spain - Player Props

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,963.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

98% win-rate sports sharp

Highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% record and massive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up about $1.38M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 547 events, suggesting a deep repeatable sports-market edge.
  • Buying Yes at 45¢ implies they see Mbappé scoring as materially underpriced.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

79% winner adding Yes

Proven profitable cross-market bettor is adding to an existing Mbappé Yes position at 45¢ shortly before kickoff.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $250k lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Yes position, now with about $17.8k invested at a 45¢ average entry.
  • This wallet has traded across 67 events and 81 markets, suggesting an active sports edge rather than a one-off bet.

$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

84% winner adding Yes

A proven sports/cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $54K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 43 events and $148K traded with the same 84% hit rate.
  • This is an add-on to an existing Yes position at 45¢, suggesting continued conviction.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Perfect-record bettor adding size

Three wallets are buying Mbappé Yes, led by a 20-for-20 profitable bettor adding meaningful size to an existing position.

  • Lead wallet is 20-for-20 on resolved bets, up $97k, and is buying another $15.8k at 45¢.
  • Three wallets put $20.6k on the same Yes side, about 25% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • The main bettor already had a large Yes position, so this looks like added conviction rather than a one-off bet.

$14,513 on Yes

20-0 sharp adding Yes

Proven sports bettor with a 20-0 resolved record is adding size to an existing Yes position on Mbappé to score.

  • This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved trades and is up $97k lifetime.
  • They are adding $15.8k to an existing $35k Yes position, showing increased conviction.
  • Their average winning entry is 43¢, very close to this 45¢ buy price.

$15,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial sharp adding Yes

Proven profitable cross-market trader with an 81% resolved-bet win rate is adding to an existing Yes position on Mbappé to score.

  • This bettor has won 81% of resolved bets and is up about $60K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge.
  • They are adding to an existing Yes position at 43¢, slightly below the current 44–45¢ market.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x18e6...d83d Outcome 46373029, $35,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xca97...49f6 Outcome 46373029, $17,778 (78% win rate)
  3. 0x9f03...766d Outcome 46373029, $11,111 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x8a79...b1a8 Outcome 46373029, $5,556 (84% win rate)
  5. 0x7f5d...946e Outcome 46373029, $5,359 (61% win rate)
  6. 0x6b88...9856 Outcome 46373029, $5,000 (89% win rate)
  7. 0xf1a2...6883 Outcome 46373029, $4,766 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x05e3...4b87 Outcome 46373029, $4,444 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x11ee...e02f Outcome 46373029, $4,444
  10. 0x97e4...6d13 Outcome 46373029, $4,308 (100% win rate)

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Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain - Player Props$43,963 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
61¢
56¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

3d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 45¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

3d ago

$8,000 on Yes at 45¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

4d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 45¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

3d ago

$14,513 on Yes at 45¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

4d ago

$15,750 on Yes at 45¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$1,200 on Yes at 43¢

Related Theses