Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,907.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, Champions League, UCL

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet fading favorite

A very new but already profitable repeat large bettor is taking a contrarian No position against Arsenal reaching the final, with linked-wallet context adding support.

  • This 5-day-old bettor is already up $8.4k across 4 resolved wins.
  • The wallet has triggered 17 large-bet alerts totaling $46k, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
  • They are buying No at 27¢ while Arsenal is priced as a 74% favorite, a clear contrarian fade.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner backs Yes

A highly proven wallet with a 94% win rate and nearly $944k in profit bought Arsenal Yes at 73¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $944k lifetime.
  • They bought Arsenal Yes at 73¢ as the market has risen 10 points this week.
  • Entry at 73¢ implies they still see value despite Arsenal already trading as a strong favorite.

$1,492 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,980 | Wallet win rate: 71%

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$6,435 | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf98...6e0a No, $26,933 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xfea3...d227 Yes, $25,528 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x53ec...df91 No, $14,265 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x9106...afcb Yes, $14,221 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xd568...a35a Yes, $13,229 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xf892...7f58 No, $9,870 (44% win rate)
  7. 0xd961...35de No, $5,118 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xd604...cb5f No, $5,026 (64% win rate)
  9. 0xe405...c67e Yes, $4,997 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x7fcf...80ac Yes, $4,510 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 12 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

1d$11,907 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerChampions LeagueUCL
Yes
74¢
No
27¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
75¢
69¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

13m ago

$2,000 on No at 27¢

27¢27¢

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

2h ago

$1,492 on Yes at 73¢

73¢74¢1¢

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

5d ago

$1,980

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

5d ago

$6,435

Related Theses