Part of: Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley
This Polymarket market covers who advances from the Erste Bank Open match between Arthur Fery and Jacob Fearnley, scheduled for October 26, 2026. Current odds were not included in the supplied market data; two tracked smart-money signals favor Fearnley. The market resolves to the player who advances, or under the listed cancellation and no-winner conditions by November 9, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,841.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor adds to position
A consistently profitable cross-market bettor added to an existing Fery position during a 24x volume spike, though the market is now priced at 100%.
- This bettor has won 79% of 173 resolved bets and is up $285,833 lifetime.
- They added $4,355 to an existing Arthur Fery position at 67¢ amid a 24x volume spike.
- The market now shows Fery at 100%, so the 77¢ entry ceiling is no longer available at the current price.
$4,355 on Arthur Fery | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial bettor on Fery
A profitable bettor with a substantial record entered Arthur Fery at 72¢ amid a volume spike, though the market is now priced at 100%.
- This bettor has won 77% of 274 resolved trades and is up $58,361.
- They bought Fery at 72¢ during a 24.2× volume spike, but the market is now priced at 100%.
$1,967 on Arthur Fery | Wallet win rate: 77%
Four-wallet cluster of proven bettors
Four wallets added $9,519 to Arthur Fery, including three profitable bettors with strong histories and two with substantial demonstrated edge.
- Four wallets added $9,519 to Arthur Fery, with entries averaging about 69¢.
- Three bettors have positive P&L and strong records, including one with 98% wins across 66 resolved bets.
- Several traders already held Fery shares, so these buys represent increased conviction rather than new positions.
$9,519 on Arthur Fery
Profitable serial bettor adding to Fearnley
A profitable, highly active cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate is adding to an existing Fearnley position amid an unusual volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 518 resolved trades and is up nearly $100,000.
- They added $1,000 to an existing Jacob Fearnley position as market volume spiked 28.6× its historical average.
$1,000 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader backs Fearnley
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate put $5,000 on Jacob Fearnley, though the current price has slipped below their entry.
- This bettor has won 71% of 1,165 resolved trades and earned about $4.0M.
- They placed a $5,000 bet on Jacob Fearnley at 51¢; the market is now around 49¢.
$5,000 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xf64f...eed7 — Jacob Fearnley, $51,647 (100% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Jacob Fearnley, $15,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Jacob Fearnley, $9,804 (72% win rate)
- 0x73d4...dbd6 — Jacob Fearnley, $3,894 (72% win rate)
- 0x72d3...a3aa — Jacob Fearnley, $2,906 (78% win rate)
- 0x89dc...e678 — Jacob Fearnley, $2,180
- 0x9e53...53ae — Jacob Fearnley, $1,986 (89% win rate)
- 0x134f...2b5d — Jacob Fearnley, $1,435 (66% win rate)
- 0x3e1a...4d5c — Jacob Fearnley, $1,429
- 0xad75...5635 — Jacob Fearnley, $1,018
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