Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $667,341.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
97% winner in heavy flow
A very sharp, highly profitable sports bettor bought Germany at 46¢ alongside heavy same-side flow from 46 wallets, though the market has since moved sharply against Germany.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.64M lifetime.
- 46 wallets bought Germany in the same window, totaling about $252K.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 258 events and a 97% win rate.
$5,020 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp whale led Paraguay surge
Highly proven profitable wallet bought Paraguay before a major move, with 42-wallet same-side flow and heavy event-wide positioning corroborating the trade.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.54M lifetime.
- 42 wallets bought the same side, totaling $206K on Paraguay.
- They entered at 32¢ before Paraguay jumped to 76¢, so this looks like a sharp early move.
$4,000 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite bettor joined Paraguay wave
Elite 85% lifetime winner bought Paraguay before a major move, alongside 42-wallet one-sided flow and a 38x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $703K lifetime.
- 42 wallets bought Paraguay the same way, totaling $207K in one-sided flow.
- The trade entered at 43¢ before Paraguay moved to 76¢, backed by a 38x volume spike.
$2,389 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor joined 42-wallet Paraguay flow
Sharp 82% winner bought Paraguay before a major move, alongside a 42-wallet one-sided cluster and a large pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $15.2K lifetime.
- 42 wallets bought Paraguay the same way, totaling $206.6K in coordinated flow.
- They entered at 43¢ before Paraguay moved to 76¢, with volume spiking 38x above normal.
$3,297 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 62%
Serial cross-market sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with an 80% resolved win rate is building a Germany thesis across this event, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative and this entry has moved against them.
- This bettor has won 80% of 35 resolved markets and has traded 36 events across 46 markets.
- They have $42.5K positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader Germany-related thesis.
- The market saw a 35x volume spike, and Germany is now available well below this bettor’s 72¢ entry.
$2,241 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 79%
83% winner buying favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Germany while also showing serial cross-market activity.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market track record across 26 events with the same 83% win rate.
- Entry at 78¢ suggests they still see value despite Germany already being the favorite.
$1,961 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 85%
98% winner buying Germany
Elite 98% lifetime winner with strong profits bought Germany at 75¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $158K lifetime.
- They have repeated cross-market success across 38 events with a 98% hit rate.
- They bought Germany at 75¢ before the market moved to 80¢.
$1,605 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 97%
85% winner buying Germany
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate bought $15k of Germany at 75¢, alongside heavy pre-event volume and immediate move to 80¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They put $15k on Germany at 75¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
- This wallet has traded 30 related events with the same 85% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$15,000 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor joins 25-wallet Germany flow
A highly profitable 81% sports bettor bought $19k of Germany alongside a 25-wallet one-sided move and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $628k lifetime.
- 25 wallets bought the same side, totaling $147k on Germany.
- Germany moved up 19 points with a 41x volume spike, suggesting strong market momentum.
$18,966 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 81%
25-wallet one-sided surge
High-conviction one-sided flow: 25 wallets bought Germany for $147k, alongside a 41x volume spike and a 19-point price move.
- 25 wallets all bought Germany in the same window, totaling $147k on one side.
- Germany moved from this bettor’s 63¢ entry to 82¢ after the flow, a 19-point jump.
- The wallet is new and repeat-flagged, with $5.4k in flagged bets across 7 positions already.
$1,470 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x5660...54bf — Outcome 10986710, $477,816 (92% win rate)
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Outcome 10986710, $464,417 (77% win rate)
- 0x8372...5223 — Outcome 10986710, $327,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 10986710, $149,073 (58% win rate)
- 0xa1e6...e1c2 — Outcome 10986710, $98,569 (81% win rate)
- 0xe558...dcd2 — Outcome 10986710, $79,644 (72% win rate)
- 0x59e5...7a2b — Outcome 10986710, $71,368 (84% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 10986710, $69,123 (96% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 10986710, $59,999 (75% win rate)
- 0xf62a...a4db — Outcome 10986710, $55,153
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