Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $189,948.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Jodar
A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Jodar position at 53%, before the price rose to 80%.
- This bettor has won 79% of 426 resolved trades and is up $303,872.
- They added $1,111 to an existing Jodar position at 53%, showing increased conviction before the market moved to 80%.
- The trader has placed bets across 151 events and 186 markets, suggesting a broad, established track record rather than a one-off wager.
$1,111 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 74%
Elite serial bettor adds to Musetti
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 89% win rate and strong historical edge is adding to a large Lorenzo Musetti position at 38%.
- This bettor wins 89% of 109 resolved trades and is up $522,161 lifetime.
- The wallet has committed over $31,000 to Lorenzo Musetti and is adding at 38¢.
- Its 33-event cross-market record shows repeatable sports-trading conviction, not a one-off bet.
$18,906 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 89%
93% winner scaling into Musetti
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added $70,000 to Musetti alongside four other wallets during an extreme volume surge.
- This bettor has won 93% of 117 resolved trades and is up $113,799 lifetime.
- The wallet added $70,000 to Musetti at 59¢, increasing an existing position rather than making a casual trade.
- Five wallets bought Musetti for a combined $79,318 as volume reached 232 times its historical average.
$70,000 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 93%
Six-wallet Jodar buying cluster
Six wallets added $23.6K to Rafael Jodar during a 129x volume spike, including several profitable and highly experienced bettors, despite the price falling from their entries.
- Six wallets bought Rafael Jodar for $23,564, creating a strong one-sided signal during a 129x historical volume spike.
- Several participants have profitable records, including a 74% winner with $37,126 profit and a 61% winner with $74,966 profit.
- The group is adding to existing Jodar positions, showing sustained conviction even after the price fell from 62¢ to 54¢.
$10,639 on Rafael Jodar
Elite serial bettor adds to Musetti
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 89% win rate and strong historical edge is adding to a large Lorenzo Musetti position at 38%.
- This bettor wins 89% of 109 resolved trades and is up $522,161 lifetime.
- The wallet has committed over $31,000 to Lorenzo Musetti and is adding at 38¢.
- Its 33-event cross-market record shows repeatable sports-trading conviction, not a one-off bet.
$11,608 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 89%
Linked cluster backs Musetti
A linked four-wallet cluster placed $34,000 on Musetti, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, while a 299x volume spike corroborates the move.
- Four linked wallets committed $34,003 to Musetti, with the market showing a 299x historical volume spike.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 89% wins with $522,000 profit and 82% wins with $3.85 million profit.
- Some exposure was already held, and one wallet had an opposing Jodar position, so the signal is strong but not entirely fresh or unanimous.
$53,414 on Lorenzo Musetti
94% winner adds to Musetti
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge is adding $20.6K to an existing Musetti position at 39¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of trades across 137 resolved positions and is up $1.03M.
- They added $20,550 to Lorenzo Musetti at 39¢, already holding $53,761 at the same entry price.
- The 47% average entry price versus a 94% win rate indicates a substantial, proven edge across 183 events.
$20,550 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 95%
Elite serial bettor adds to Musetti
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 89% win rate and strong historical edge is adding to a large Lorenzo Musetti position at 38%.
- This bettor wins 89% of 109 resolved trades and is up $522,161 lifetime.
- The wallet has committed over $31,000 to Lorenzo Musetti and is adding at 38¢.
- Its 33-event cross-market record shows repeatable sports-trading conviction, not a one-off bet.
$1,718 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 89%
95% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate across 1,364 resolved positions is making a fresh $2,002 bet on Rafael Jodar.
- This bettor wins 95% of trades across 1,364 resolved positions and is up $605,867.
- The wallet has traded across 177 events and 188 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market edge.
- A fresh $2,002 position backs Rafael Jodar at 65¢, close to the current 64% market odds.
$2,002 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 95%
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