Part of: Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,089.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Leagues Cup

Notable Trades

Coordinated Austin FC buying cluster

Three wallets committed $9,031 to Austin FC amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, including a highly profitable serial cross-market trader.

  • Three wallets bought $9,031 of Austin FC at 65¢, representing a concentrated one-sided position.
  • The flow coincided with a reported 2,864× volume spike in a relatively thin market.
  • One participant has won 71% of 50,221 resolved bets and earned $5.7M, though another wallet is adding to an existing position.

$9,031 on Austin FC

99% winner buys Toluca spread

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate made a fresh, unusually large Toluca spread bet amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 78 of 79 resolved positions and is up $3.6 million.
  • The $2,949 purchase at 34¢ represented nearly twice the flagged 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Toluca covering.
  • Trading activity surged over 2,800 times the recent average as Toluca traded near 36%.

$2,949 on Deportivo Toluca FC | Wallet win rate: 99%

Whale scales into Austin FC

A proven high-volume trader is adding $16.1K to an existing Austin FC position in an unusually thin market, creating a notable directional signal despite only moderate historical edge.

  • This serial trader has invested $1.84M across 371 resolved bets and is up $309K overall.
  • The $16.1K addition is more than 10 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, producing an 8,526x volume spike.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Austin FC position at 70¢ rather than taking a new exploratory trade.

$16,109 on Austin FC | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0x29b1...f737 Outcome 11099719, $24,401 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x70a6...a2eb Outcome 11099719, $2,094 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 11099719, $900
  4. 0xbe9f...014a Outcome 11099719, $566 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x9c5b...ec01 Outcome 11099719, $407
  6. 0xfcc7...4d38 Outcome 11099719, $288 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x536e...4fd5 Outcome 11099719, $126
  8. 0x24ce...da46 Outcome 11099719, $66
  9. 0x5c18...2f76 Outcome 11099719, $42
  10. 0x1bec...8d52 Outcome 11099719, $40 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Independiente will defeat Central Córdoba

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A high-scoring match unfolds

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Racing Club will not win

Covers 1 related market

River Plate match tops 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Rosario Central will win July 28

Covers 1 related market

Rosario Central match goes over

Covers 2 related markets

San Lorenzo will win July 28

Covers 1 related market

San Lorenzo will not win

Covers 1 related market

Fortaleza EC will win July 28

Covers 1 related market

CA Banfield will not win

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

ResolvedDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets$28,089 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLeagues Cup

In the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for August 26 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Toluca FC" if Deportivo Toluca FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austin FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on leaguescup.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Deportivo Toluca FC
102¢
62¢
23¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

15d ago

$9,031 on Austin FC at 65¢

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

15d ago

$2,949 on Deportivo Toluca FC at 34¢

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

16d ago

$16,109 on Austin FC at 70¢

Related Theses