Part of: Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $126,006.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster hit No

Strong coordinated No buying from several profitable/serial sports traders, including a highly profitable sharp and a new wallet already up $32k, drove the market to 100%.

  • A bettor up $366k lifetime bought No at 43¢, alongside another wallet with an 87% record across 1,698 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets put $18.1k on No, while the price jumped sharply toward 100%.
  • One new wallet has already been flagged 26 times and is up $32k despite being only about 2 weeks old.

$18,149 on No

Sharp 9-wallet Yes cluster

Nine wallets, including multiple proven profitable bettors, put nearly $98k on Yes in a coordinated live-event move, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

  • A 9-wallet cluster put $98k on the same side of this market.
  • Several bettors have strong records, including wallets winning 95% and 91% of resolved bets.
  • Yes has fallen to 8¢ after entries from 36–90¢, so this is only attractive if following the sharp cluster at a deep discount.

$98,473 on Yes

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp sports wallet with a 23-for-23 resolved record made an $8.3k No bet amid a major pre-event volume spike and large price move.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved trades and is up $54.7k lifetime.
  • They put $8.3k on No, adding real size behind a proven sports track record.
  • The market saw a 32.6x volume spike and a 30-point move, suggesting this trade came with broader momentum.

$8,290 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Proven cross-market sharp

Sharp high-volume cross-market bettor with a long profitable record bought No amid a major volume spike and large price move.

  • This bettor wins 71% across 10,122 resolved markets and is up $263k lifetime.
  • They have traded 185 events with $1.24M total volume, so this is a well-established cross-market pattern.
  • No saw a 30-point move during a 32x volume spike, suggesting strong momentum behind the trade.

$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc45...911f Outcome 11063471, $145,864 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xd49f...4507 Outcome 11063471, $14,460 (74% win rate)
  3. 0xfa9a...099f Outcome 11063471, $12,445
  4. 0x09b0...33a5 Outcome 11063471, $7,304
  5. 0xc367...3066 Outcome 11063471, $5,597 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xb476...6eac Outcome 11063471, $5,516 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x8ed5...44bf Outcome 11063471, $5,000
  8. 0x302b...e4be Outcome 11063471, $2,951 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x9f79...dfb6 Outcome 11063471, $2,708
  10. 0x6df5...f12c Outcome 11063471, $1,429

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Argentina-Cabo Verde avoids penalties

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Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

ResolvedArgentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$126,006 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

51d ago

$18,149 on No at 52¢

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

51d ago

$98,473 on Yes at 61¢

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

51d ago

$8,290 on No at 83¢

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

51d ago

$1,095 on No at 59¢

Related Theses