Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $400,671.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner backs Spirit

Sharp esports bettor with an 81% long-term win rate and $131k profit is buying Spirit at 57¢ despite only modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $131,669 lifetime.
  • They have traded 142 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge in sports and esports markets.
  • Entry at 57¢ implies they see Spirit as meaningfully underpriced versus the current market.

$1,249 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 82%

95% winner backs underdog

A proven 95% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Team Falcons alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $96.7K lifetime.
  • They bought $4.2K of Team Falcons at 42¢, backing the underdog in a highly liquid market.
  • Four wallets are all buying Team Falcons, with $11.3K of one-sided flow and a 17x volume spike.

$2,268 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 87%

Six-wallet Spirit push

High composite alert driven by six-wallet one-sided buying, a pre-event volume spike, and a serial cross-market bettor joining the Spirit side despite this wallet's negative lifetime P&L.

  • Six wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling $23.3K in the same direction.
  • Market volume is running 11.7x above its usual pace before the match.
  • This wallet has traded across 64 events with a 73% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$1,100 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial bettor cluster

Profitable serial cross-market bettor put $18.7k on Team Falcons alongside 12-wallet one-sided flow, and the price has already surged from their entries to 76¢.

  • This bettor is up about $240k lifetime and has traded 54 related events with a 62% win record.
  • 12 wallets all bought Team Falcons in the same direction, totaling $42.7k of one-sided flow.
  • Their entries averaged around 38¢, and the market has already moved sharply to 76¢.

$18,728 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 62%

10-wallet Falcons surge

Worth surfacing for coordinated Falcons-side flow and a large price move, though this specific wallet may be taking profit on an earlier Spirit position.

  • 10 wallets are all betting the Falcons side, totaling about $42K in the same direction.
  • Spirit’s price fell 31 points, a major move in a very liquid $4.8M market.
  • This trade sold Spirit at 71¢, equivalent to entering Falcons around 29¢.

$1,068 on Team Falcons

Serial bettor joins 12-wallet cluster

High-conviction Team Falcons flow from a 12-wallet one-sided cluster, with this trade coming from a serial cross-market bettor with a 66% record over 353 resolved bets.

  • 12 wallets are all buying Team Falcons, totaling about $41K on the same side.
  • This bettor has a long record: 66% wins across 353 resolved bets and $14K lifetime profit.
  • They bought at 35¢, while the market is now 26¢, so followers may be able to enter below their price.

$3,921 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 62%

12-wallet Falcons buy wave

Coordinated one-sided Falcons buying across 12 wallets plus a rapid 11-point Spirit price drop makes this worth surfacing despite this wallet's modest edge.

  • 12 wallets bought Team Falcons in the same direction, totaling $41.4k.
  • The buying wave briefly knocked Spirit down 11 points in under 5 minutes.
  • This bettor has 727 resolved bets and is slightly profitable overall.

$4,607 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 57%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample is buying Team Falcons at 45¢ despite only modest alert severity.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,306 resolved trades and is up $714K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.4M deployed across 567 markets.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies they see Team Falcons as a roughly 2.2x payout opportunity.

$5,945 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 74%

Linked Falcons cluster

High-conviction one-sided Falcons flow from 12 wallets, including linked accounts and a profitable serial cross-market trader, makes this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

  • 12 wallets are all buying Team Falcons, with $31K flowing the same way.
  • This wallet has won 74% of 89 resolved bets and is up about $30K lifetime.
  • The bettor entered at 43¢, while the market is now 28¢, so the same side is currently cheaper.

$1,969 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor joins Falcons cluster

High-scoring alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining a 12-wallet one-sided move on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor has a long record: 286 resolved bets, 65% wins, and about $187k in profit.
  • 12 wallets are all betting Team Falcons, with $31k moving the same way and some linked funding.
  • Selling Spirit at 66¢ is equivalent to buying Team Falcons at 34¢, a contrarian position versus the current 28¢ market price.

$1,827 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 55252861, $133,247 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x175c...af21 Outcome 55252861, $95,000 (41% win rate)
  3. 0x73e3...1be9 Outcome 55252861, $64,660 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 55252861, $61,034 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xf886...2620 Outcome 55252861, $46,632 (97% win rate)
  6. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 55252861, $41,048 (96% win rate)
  7. 0xdb6c...6bc7 Outcome 55252861, $25,000
  8. 0x55a1...db28 Outcome 55252861, $20,380 (83% win rate)
  9. 0xfc0c...cfc9 Outcome 55252861, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 55252861, $20,000 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

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Series will alternate game winners

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Covers 1 related market

Natus Vincere beats BetBoom

Covers 1 related market

Top Esports beat NiP

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Spirit will beat Liquid

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$400,671 tracked50 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,249 on Spirit at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,268 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,100 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$18,728 on Team Falcons at 38¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,068 on Team Falcons at 29¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$3,921 on Team Falcons at 35¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$4,607 on Team Falcons at 35¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$5,945 on Team Falcons at 45¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,969 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,827 on Team Falcons at 34¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,642 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,038 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$3,900 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$14,121 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,100 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,023 on Spirit at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$52,940 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,965 on Spirit at 44¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,614 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$8,789 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$21,064 on Spirit at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,246 on Spirit at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,245 on Spirit at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$31,335 on Team Falcons at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$38,567 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$3,045 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,035 on Team Falcons at 47¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,500 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$12,785 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$9,351 on Team Falcons at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$8,264 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$11,000 on Team Falcons at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$12,941 on Team Falcons at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,447 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,020 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$3,106 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$8,400 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$8,396 on Team Falcons at 45¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$6,690 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$3,417 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,145 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$4,200 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$50,102 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$8,600 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$4,000 on Spirit at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$6,000 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,096 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,216 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$2,358 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

49d ago

$1,290 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Related Theses