Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 semifinal between Spirit and Team Falcons at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay rules applying if no winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $53,044 in smart money activity across 7 signals, including sharp-linked Falcons buying and profitable-trader activity on Spirit.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $418,060.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner joins Spirit cluster
Elite 95% winning bettor with $1.63M profit bought $14.1K of Spirit amid a 21-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.63M lifetime.
- 21 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling about $92K on the same side.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with 327 events tracked and a 95% record.
$14,121 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
21-wallet Spirit buy wave
High-conviction one-sided flow: 21 wallets bought Spirit for about $92k, with this brand-new wallet adding to the same side amid a major volume spike.
- 21 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling about $92k on the same side.
- This brand-new wallet has already placed 2 flagged bets and is up about $1.1k on resolved trades.
- Market volume is running 25x above normal, suggesting a major pre-match positioning wave.
$1,100 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% winner backs Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $3,000 of Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $13.8K lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of Spirit at 57¢, implying confidence despite a fairly liquid market.
- Market volume is running 32.6x above its historical average before the match.
$2,023 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable cluster on underdog
A five-wallet cluster is taking the Team Falcons side, led by experienced profitable bettors and a sharp wallet selling Spirit heavily at prices equivalent to buying Falcons around 47–48¢.
- Five wallets put $23.4k behind Team Falcons, mostly by selling Spirit around 53–54¢.
- The largest bettor is up $240k lifetime and has a 62% record across 56 resolved bets.
- Several wallets are serial cross-market traders, including one with a 69% record and $4.6M traded.
$23,432 on Team Falcons
Profitable new wallet cluster
A highly profitable new wallet bought Spirit at 44¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
- This new bettor is up $28.6K in its first month and has been repeatedly flagged for large bets.
- Four wallets bought Spirit in the same window, totaling $7.6K on one side.
- Entry at 44¢ has already moved to 58¢, showing the trade was ahead of a sharp price move.
$1,965 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Experienced profitable cross-market bettor is buying Team Falcons alongside one-sided flow from 3 wallets, with a broader $25.9k event position.
- This bettor has 9,111 resolved trades and is up $192k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling about $4.7k.
- The wallet has $25.9k across 4 markets in this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
$1,614 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable bettor with 11-wallet flow
Profitable high-volume esports bettor is re-entering Team Falcons alongside strong one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 68% of 1,307 resolved bets and is up $713K lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all buying Team Falcons, totaling about $52.9K on the same side.
- They entered around 42–43¢ and the price has already moved to 51¢.
$8,789 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable trader in Spirit wave
High-scoring alert driven by a profitable serial trader selling Falcons while a 30-wallet linked cluster piles into the equivalent Spirit side, though this wallet’s trade may partly be profit-taking from an existing Falcons position.
- This bettor has a strong long-term record: 68% wins across 1,308 resolved bets and $727K in profit.
- 30 wallets are all leaning the same way on Spirit, with $264K of one-sided flow and 6 wallets sharing a funder.
- Selling Falcons at 60–61¢ is equivalent to buying Spirit around 39–40¢, while the market now shows Spirit much lower at 26¢.
$21,064 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 68%
30-wallet buying cluster
High-conviction coordinated Spirit buying from 30 wallets, including linked wallets and a profitable repeat-flagged bettor, despite the position moving against the entry so far.
- 30 wallets bought the same side for about $264K, including 6 wallets tied to shared funding.
- This wallet is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and up about $19.7K lifetime.
- The bettor entered at 39¢, while the market now sits near 26¢, offering a cheaper follow-on entry if the thesis is right.
$2,246 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp in 30-wallet cluster
Sharp 80% lifetime wallet bought Spirit alongside a large 30-wallet one-sided cluster, despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $201k lifetime.
- 30 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling $264k in the same direction.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 46 events with an 80% win rate.
$1,245 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Team Falcons, $474,214 (63% win rate)
- 0x6adc...beba — Spirit, $375,797 (32% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Team Falcons, $278,152 (94% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Spirit, $125,699 (61% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Team Falcons, $94,862 (68% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Team Falcons, $91,947 (62% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Spirit, $80,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Spirit, $79,389 (61% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Spirit, $65,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Spirit, $64,660 (98% win rate)
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