Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,188.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
91% win-rate serial timer
A serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought No 11 minutes before resolution in a high-volume BTC market, a pattern consistent with a strong real-time edge near expiry.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved markets across 247 bets and has traded 218 related markets.
- They bought No 11 minutes before resolution at 89¢, suggesting a high-confidence late read on the final BTC print.
- Market activity was elevated with a 16x volume spike before expiry, adding support to the move.
$2,649 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp late crypto timer
A proven 86% win-rate cross-market trader made a large late bet equivalent to buying Yes at 12¢ shortly before resolution, a high-risk but potentially informed entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 48 markets and has traded 34 related events.
- They effectively bought Yes at 12¢ by selling No at 88¢, 18 minutes before resolution.
- The bet size was large at $15.8k, showing real conviction on a fast-moving BTC level market.
$15,807 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
New wallet BTC bull
A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this BTC event complex, and this trade is fresh bullish positioning despite already showing early profitability.
- A 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and put $4.6k into similar bets
- This trade sells No at 61¢, which converts to buying Yes around 39¢ on Bitcoin finishing above $70k
- The wallet is only 2-for-2 so far, but it is already up $228 and is trading across related BTC markets
$1,048 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet cluster buys Yes
Three wallets piled into Yes for $6.4k, led by a 3-day-old repeat wallet making a large fresh bet as the market ripped higher in the last day.
- A 3-wallet cluster put $6.4k on Yes, including a new 3-day-old wallet that has already been flagged 4 times for large bets.
- They bought at 43¢ while this market is still only 39¢, after a sharp 34-point move in the last day.
- One wallet is reopening after a tiny earlier trade, so this looks like fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$6,367 on Yes
96% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with a 96% hit rate bought the equivalent of Yes at 45¢ into a strong pre-event volume surge, making this a notable momentum-follow trade despite the market’s high liquidity.
- This wallet wins 96% of 1,473 resolved bets across 282 events, a rare track record worth watching
- Their sell of No at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 45¢, close to the current 41¢ market price
- Market activity is running 35.8x above normal and the price is up 36.8% in a day, showing strong event-driven momentum
$2,665 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Linked BTC threshold cluster
Three coordinated wallets, including two linked by funding and one brand-new repeat bettor, put nearly $9.3k into No across related BTC threshold markets as the market repriced sharply upward, suggesting a deliberate directional thesis rather than random flow.
- Three wallets all bet No for $9.3k, and two of them share a funder.
- One wallet is only 6 hours old and has already made three large flagged bets totaling $11.3k.
- These bets span 3 related Bitcoin markets, showing a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
$9,272 on No
New wallet pressing BTC NO
A very new wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets across related BTC expiry markets, and this trade aligns with a strong recent move in a highly active event market.
- This wallet is under 3 days old and has already been flagged 3 times for large bets, with $3.6k in notable positions
- They bought No at 80¢ in a market where No now trades around 81¢, showing continued conviction on the same BTC event
- The market is active with $137k of 24-hour volume and a 14-point one-day move, so this bet is riding a real trend rather than a dead market
$1,380 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x979b...e47c — Outcome 39833460, $29,102 (50% win rate)
- 0xbdfb...ecc3 — Outcome 39833460, $25,522
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 39833460, $21,266
- 0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 39833460, $11,860
- 0xcf5d...45ba — Outcome 39833460, $5,419
- 0x4ee2...46e1 — Outcome 39833460, $5,044 (66% win rate)
- 0x9872...84b8 — Outcome 39833460, $3,500
- 0x3c35...feeb — Outcome 39833460, $3,452
- 0x0cc3...edf0 — Outcome 39833460, $3,391
- 0x6305...9d0b — Outcome 39833460, $3,000
