Part of: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,035.

Categories: Movies, Culture, Box Office, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into thin market

A serial cross-market trader added heavily to an existing Yes position, driving most of the market's recent volume, though the wallet lacks a clearly superior win-rate edge.

  • This trader put $3,035 into Yes, representing 81% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 526 markets and 326 events, with 1,732 resolved bets and a 68% win rate.
  • The trade was an addition to an existing $7,018 Yes position, showing increased conviction, but the wallet’s average winning entry of 84% limits the evidence of a pricing edge.

$3,035 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 70125872, $6,514
  2. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 70125872, $6,434 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x9d84...1344 Outcome 70125872, $4,030 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 70125872, $2,000 (49% win rate)
  5. 0x2167...5ded Outcome 70125872, $500
  6. 0x30fb...7db4 Outcome 70125872, $468
  7. 0x1682...26ca Outcome 70125872, $400 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x2213...492c Outcome 70125872, $200
  9. 0xf85f...9800 Outcome 70125872, $139 (71% win rate)
  10. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 70125872, $120

Related Theses

Iran deal lands in July

Covers 8 related markets

Claude 5 launches by April

Covers 4 related markets

Spider-Man grosses $800M–$900M

Covers 2 related markets

The Odyssey finishes $550–570m

Covers 2 related markets

Spider-Man grosses under $900M

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?

Resolved"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)$3,035 tracked1 signalMoviesCultureBox OfficeSpider-Man

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes
94¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?

35d ago

$3,035 on Yes at 43¢

Related Theses