Part of: Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,352.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet fade

A 5-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large bets bought Alex de Minaur at 54¢ just before a sharp collapse to 10¢, making this a notable high-conviction but high-risk fade candidate to study.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 24 times, is up $11.3k, and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets
  • They bought Alex de Minaur at 54¢ before the market crashed to 10¢ in minutes, showing strong conviction against the move
  • The market saw nearly 20x normal volume, so this trade happened during a meaningful rush of action rather than a quiet market

$2,069 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 89%

New whale-led contrarian cluster

Three wallets piled into Alex de Minaur as the market swung hard against him, including a repeat new-wallet whale already up $11k, making this a coordinated contrarian buy worth watching.

  • Three wallets all bought the same side for $6.5k total as Alex de Minaur's price was getting crushed.
  • One wallet is only 6 days old, has already triggered 24 large-bet alerts, and is up $11.3k so far.
  • They entered around 46-54¢ while the market later moved to an extreme, showing clear conviction against the crowd.

$6,531 on Alex de Minaur

81% win-rate tennis bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate bought Hamad Medjedovic before a major upward price move in a heavily active match market, making this a credible momentum-plus-skill signal.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $5.9k on nearly $48.6k invested
  • They bought Hamad Medjedovic at 80¢, and the market moved up to 90¢ after a 44-point price jump
  • The market also saw a 13.3x volume spike, suggesting broader conviction behind the move

$2,982 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 65%

95% win-rate tennis bettor

A small but notable buy from a wallet with a 95% win rate stands out here, especially because they stepped in after a sharp 13-point price drop.

  • This bettor has won 19 of 20 resolved trades and is up $3.5k on $22.4k invested
  • They bought Alex de Minaur at 65¢ after a fast 13-point drop, signaling willingness to fade sudden market weakness
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than random noise

$1,286 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp sports bettor buys dip

A high-volume sports bettor with 966 resolved bets and a 74% win rate bought into a sharp 13-point dip on Alex de Minaur, making this a credible buy-the-drop signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has 966 resolved bets, wins 74% of them, and is up about $146k lifetime
  • They bought Alex de Minaur at 62¢ during a fast 13-point drop, suggesting they viewed the selloff as overdone
  • This wallet has traded 219 markets across 134 events, so this looks like a repeatable sports betting approach rather than a random punt

$1,075 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 75%

87% win-rate bettor fades favorite

A highly accurate serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate sold Alex de Minaur at 40¢ before the market moved sharply higher, which translates into a copyable buy on Hamad Medjedovic around 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 134 markets and has tracked a broad cross-market edge.
  • They sold Alex de Minaur at 40¢, which is equivalent to buying Hamad Medjedovic at 60¢.
  • The market saw a 45.6x volume spike and a 27-point move, showing real money pushed this match hard.

$5,847 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp cluster buying upset

A sharp cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate joined a coordinated three-wallet position into Hamad Medjedovic, while market-wide volume surged and price moved hard.

  • One of the buyers wins 87% of their bets across 91 markets, and another wins 76% with $364k in profit.
  • Three wallets aligned on Hamad Medjedovic for $16.2k while market volume ran 103x above normal.
  • The trade got in around 40-60¢, implying they saw value before Hamad dropped to 34¢.

$16,163 on Hamad Medjedovic

New winning whale on favorite

A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a $19.7k buy at 43¢ as part of a 10-wallet one-sided push, and the market has already moved sharply in its favor to 66¢.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already placed $115.8k in flagged bets and is up $12.7k early
  • Ten wallets all bought Alex de Minaur, totaling $43.6k in the same direction
  • They got in at 43¢ and the market is now 66¢, a 23-point move in their favor

$19,661 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor joins 10-wallet wave

A historically profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate joined a 10-wallet, $43.6k one-sided move into Alex de Minaur during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $363.7k across 768 resolved bets.
  • 10 wallets bought Alex de Minaur in the same window, totaling $43.6k of one-sided flow.
  • The market saw a 103x volume spike, and this wallet entered at 64¢ below the current 66¢ ask.

$1,877 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 77%

10-wallet tennis pile-in

A 3-day-old wallet that has already made 10 large bets joined a 10-wallet, $43.6k one-sided push into Alex de Minaur at 43¢ before the market repriced to 66%, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal.

  • 10 wallets put $43.6k on the same side, a strong coordinated bet on Alex de Minaur
  • This 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 10 times for large bets, with $21.9k in notable activity
  • They bought at 43¢ and the market is now 66¢, so the move was followed by a sharp repricing

$2,457 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x47c3...f7e8 Outcome 63253957, $45,237 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x7d11...99ca Outcome 63253957, $16,347 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xf62d...2a10 Outcome 63253957, $14,691 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 63253957, $9,909 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x84ec...5696 Outcome 63253957, $6,983 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 63253957, $5,129 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xc866...8c6d Outcome 63253957, $4,814 (60% win rate)
  8. 0xc181...0992 Outcome 63253957, $4,782 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x0a26...1851 Outcome 63253957, $4,731 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x5f64...1bcb Outcome 63253957, $3,999 (95% win rate)

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Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

ResolvedBarcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic$87,352 tracked14 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Hamad Medjedovic in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$2,069 on Alex de Minaur at 54¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$6,531 on Alex de Minaur at 46¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$2,982 on Hamad Medjedovic at 80¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$1,286 on Alex de Minaur at 65¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$1,075 on Alex de Minaur at 62¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$5,847 on Hamad Medjedovic at 60¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$16,163 on Hamad Medjedovic at 42¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$19,661 on Alex de Minaur at 43¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$1,877 on Alex de Minaur at 64¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$2,457 on Alex de Minaur at 43¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$1,178 on Hamad Medjedovic at 60¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$10,326 on Alex de Minaur at 71¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$3,443 on Alex de Minaur at 72¢

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

42d ago

$12,458 on Alex de Minaur at 65¢

Related Theses