Part of: Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,352.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet fade
A 5-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large bets bought Alex de Minaur at 54¢ just before a sharp collapse to 10¢, making this a notable high-conviction but high-risk fade candidate to study.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 24 times, is up $11.3k, and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 54¢ before the market crashed to 10¢ in minutes, showing strong conviction against the move
- The market saw nearly 20x normal volume, so this trade happened during a meaningful rush of action rather than a quiet market
$2,069 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 89%
New whale-led contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into Alex de Minaur as the market swung hard against him, including a repeat new-wallet whale already up $11k, making this a coordinated contrarian buy worth watching.
- Three wallets all bought the same side for $6.5k total as Alex de Minaur's price was getting crushed.
- One wallet is only 6 days old, has already triggered 24 large-bet alerts, and is up $11.3k so far.
- They entered around 46-54¢ while the market later moved to an extreme, showing clear conviction against the crowd.
$6,531 on Alex de Minaur
81% win-rate tennis bettor
A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate bought Hamad Medjedovic before a major upward price move in a heavily active match market, making this a credible momentum-plus-skill signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $5.9k on nearly $48.6k invested
- They bought Hamad Medjedovic at 80¢, and the market moved up to 90¢ after a 44-point price jump
- The market also saw a 13.3x volume spike, suggesting broader conviction behind the move
$2,982 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 65%
95% win-rate tennis bettor
A small but notable buy from a wallet with a 95% win rate stands out here, especially because they stepped in after a sharp 13-point price drop.
- This bettor has won 19 of 20 resolved trades and is up $3.5k on $22.4k invested
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 65¢ after a fast 13-point drop, signaling willingness to fade sudden market weakness
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than random noise
$1,286 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp sports bettor buys dip
A high-volume sports bettor with 966 resolved bets and a 74% win rate bought into a sharp 13-point dip on Alex de Minaur, making this a credible buy-the-drop signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has 966 resolved bets, wins 74% of them, and is up about $146k lifetime
- They bought Alex de Minaur at 62¢ during a fast 13-point drop, suggesting they viewed the selloff as overdone
- This wallet has traded 219 markets across 134 events, so this looks like a repeatable sports betting approach rather than a random punt
$1,075 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 75%
87% win-rate bettor fades favorite
A highly accurate serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate sold Alex de Minaur at 40¢ before the market moved sharply higher, which translates into a copyable buy on Hamad Medjedovic around 60¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 134 markets and has tracked a broad cross-market edge.
- They sold Alex de Minaur at 40¢, which is equivalent to buying Hamad Medjedovic at 60¢.
- The market saw a 45.6x volume spike and a 27-point move, showing real money pushed this match hard.
$5,847 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp cluster buying upset
A sharp cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate joined a coordinated three-wallet position into Hamad Medjedovic, while market-wide volume surged and price moved hard.
- One of the buyers wins 87% of their bets across 91 markets, and another wins 76% with $364k in profit.
- Three wallets aligned on Hamad Medjedovic for $16.2k while market volume ran 103x above normal.
- The trade got in around 40-60¢, implying they saw value before Hamad dropped to 34¢.
$16,163 on Hamad Medjedovic
New winning whale on favorite
A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a $19.7k buy at 43¢ as part of a 10-wallet one-sided push, and the market has already moved sharply in its favor to 66¢.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already placed $115.8k in flagged bets and is up $12.7k early
- Ten wallets all bought Alex de Minaur, totaling $43.6k in the same direction
- They got in at 43¢ and the market is now 66¢, a 23-point move in their favor
$19,661 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor joins 10-wallet wave
A historically profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate joined a 10-wallet, $43.6k one-sided move into Alex de Minaur during a major pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $363.7k across 768 resolved bets.
- 10 wallets bought Alex de Minaur in the same window, totaling $43.6k of one-sided flow.
- The market saw a 103x volume spike, and this wallet entered at 64¢ below the current 66¢ ask.
$1,877 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 77%
10-wallet tennis pile-in
A 3-day-old wallet that has already made 10 large bets joined a 10-wallet, $43.6k one-sided push into Alex de Minaur at 43¢ before the market repriced to 66%, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal.
- 10 wallets put $43.6k on the same side, a strong coordinated bet on Alex de Minaur
- This 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 10 times for large bets, with $21.9k in notable activity
- They bought at 43¢ and the market is now 66¢, so the move was followed by a sharp repricing
$2,457 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x47c3...f7e8 — Outcome 63253957, $45,237 (80% win rate)
- 0x7d11...99ca — Outcome 63253957, $16,347 (89% win rate)
- 0xf62d...2a10 — Outcome 63253957, $14,691 (48% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 63253957, $9,909 (77% win rate)
- 0x84ec...5696 — Outcome 63253957, $6,983 (51% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 63253957, $5,129 (68% win rate)
- 0xc866...8c6d — Outcome 63253957, $4,814 (60% win rate)
- 0xc181...0992 — Outcome 63253957, $4,782 (92% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 63253957, $4,731 (74% win rate)
- 0x5f64...1bcb — Outcome 63253957, $3,999 (95% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran leadership changes by December
Covers 6 related markets
Mojtaba succeeds Khamenei
Covers 1 related market
