Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets
Spread: France (-1.5)
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $355,443.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
Repeat new whale fading France
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor effectively bought Norway at 19¢ by selling France at 81¢, with 11 flagged large bets totaling $87.7k despite limited resolved history.
- A 7-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $87.7k.
- They effectively bought Norway at 19¢, far better than the current 44¢ market price.
- Track record is still thin, but the repeat sizing suggests strong conviction.
$8,655 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable spread bettor fade
Surface because a profitable 75% sports bettor joined a four-wallet Norway/France-spread fade, though the market is liquid and some flow may be position-closing.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $68.9K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $15.4K on Norway covering the +1.5 spread, mostly at an effective 19–21¢ entry.
- A repeat new-wallet bettor is also involved, with $87.7K flagged across prior large bets.
$15,422 on Norway
21-wallet France steam
Strong coordinated flow into France -1.5, with 21 wallets buying the same side and the price already moving sharply from roughly 48¢ to 70¢ despite this wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
- 21 wallets bought the same France side for about $250K, a strong one-way market signal.
- This bettor entered around 48¢ before the price jumped to 70¢, showing the move has already been validated by the market.
- Volume spiked 35x versus normal activity, with related buying across multiple markets in the same game.
$50,696 on France | Wallet win rate: 53%
99% winner on France
Elite 99% win-rate wallet bought France -1.5 at 46¢ amid a large one-sided wave, and the market has since moved to 70¢.
- This bettor has won 203 of 206 resolved positions and is up $848k lifetime.
- They bought France at 46¢ before the market jumped to 70¢, suggesting strong early conviction.
- 21 wallets bought the same side for about $250k, with volume spiking 35x above normal.
$5,601 on France | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable new wallet in cluster
A very new but already profitable wallet joined a 6-wallet, $71.8k one-sided move into Norway amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $32.3k and has been flagged across $70.7k of recent bets.
- Six wallets are all buying Norway, totaling $71.8k on the same side.
- Market volume is spiking 31x above normal, and Norway is being bought into strong pre-game movement.
$1,897 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 67%
91% winner joins 7-wallet flow
A highly profitable 91% winner bought Norway while 7 wallets pushed the same side with nearly $95k of one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $171k lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Norway, totaling about $95k on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 67x, and Norway is being bought after a strong move against France covering.
$3,000 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp serial bettor joins Norway flow
Sharp 78% winner and serial cross-market bettor bought Norway alongside a 7-wallet one-sided flow amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 63 bets and is up $18K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor with $1.4M traded across 44 events.
- Seven wallets bought the same Norway side for $95K total as market volume spiked 67x.
$15,900 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor joins Norway cluster
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 76% record joined a 7-wallet one-sided move into Norway on a high-volume France spread market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and has traded 39 events across related markets.
- Seven wallets bought Norway in the same window, totaling about $95K on one side.
- Norway has moved against France momentum despite heavy volume, with a 67x pre-event volume spike.
$1,097 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cluster buying France
High-scoring coordinated France -1.5 flow with $44.8k across 6 wallets, including multiple highly profitable bettors and strong market momentum.
- Six wallets put $44.8k on France to cover the spread in the same window.
- Several bettors have strong records, including one who is 72-for-72 and up $95k and another up $160k.
- France odds have already moved sharply, up 10 points today with a 67x volume spike.
$44,844 on France
97% sharp on Norway
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 97% record bought Norway while broader one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike supported the same side.
- This bettor has won 33 of 34 resolved bets and is up $23.9K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Norway side for $46.4K total, adding confirmation.
- The market saw a 116x volume spike before the match, with Norway bought around 58–59¢.
$3,315 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xc67a...f0b6 — Outcome 24600694, $925,924 (64% win rate)
- 0x5848...a698 — Outcome 24600694, $230,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xc1da...fefa — Outcome 24600694, $163,386 (89% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 24600694, $127,724 (80% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 24600694, $76,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 24600694, $51,551 (97% win rate)
- 0xfdfe...030e — Outcome 24600694, $33,644 (62% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 24600694, $32,175 (81% win rate)
- 0x83b4...23fe — Outcome 24600694, $30,117 (84% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 24600694, $30,000 (85% win rate)
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
England rout Ghana in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Covers 5 related markets
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Covers 5 related markets
South Africa-Korea market mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium wins three one
Covers 10 related markets
Ecuador-Germany won't draw
Covers 3 related markets
Netherlands rout Tunisia early
Covers 9 related markets
