This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564k lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 110 events with over $1.0M deployed. Buying No at 75¢ backs the match not ending in a draw, slightly above the current 74% market odds.

Part of: 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,959.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports whale

Very high-volume serial sports trader with $1.94M lifetime profit is placing a large cross-market bet on No, alongside rapid price movement in the same direction.

This bettor is up $1.94M lifetime across over 25,000 resolved trades.
They put $50.7K across 3 markets in this same match, including $18.5K on No here.
The No price moved up 18 points in under 3 minutes, showing strong same-direction momentum.

$18,473 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

87% win sports sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with an 87% win rate is buying No on the draw at 75¢ in a liquid Bundesliga market.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 110 events with over $1.0M deployed.
Buying No at 75¢ backs the match not ending in a draw, slightly above the current 74% market odds.

$2,643 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

87% win-rate serial trader

Highly profitable serial sports trader with an 87% long-run win rate bought No on the draw market amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564K lifetime.
They have traded 110 events with over $1M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 76¢ on No came during a 57x volume spike before the match.

$3,183 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution sports bettor with $88.8k profit sold No 1.5 minutes before resolution, effectively buying Draw at 24¢ amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has made 124 near-resolution bets across 94 markets and is up $88.8k overall.
They entered 1.5 minutes before resolution, effectively buying the draw at 24¢.
Market volume spiked 105x versus the recent average, adding support to the late move.

$2,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 27735432, $98,442 (50% win rate)
0xf797...37cc — Outcome 27735432, $6,075 (97% win rate)
0xd7c9...1ec6 — Outcome 27735432, $3,360
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11305213, $3,102
0x76ae...38e9 — Outcome 27735432, $1,852
0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 27735432, $1,058 (31% win rate)
0x459f...c1f5 — Outcome 27735432, $508
0x7bec...07a8 — Outcome 27735432, $500 (65% win rate)
0x18d7...2968 — Outcome 27735432, $370
0x217d...9419 — Outcome 27735432, $348

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?

Resolved1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846$26,959 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.