Part of: Astana: Lucio Ratti vs Tai Sach

Astana: Lucio Ratti vs Tai Sach

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Tai Sach in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Tai Sach. This market will resolve to 'Tai Sach' if Tai Sach advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $583,288.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

90% winner adds to Ratti

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Lucio Ratti position at 64%.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades, is up $63,137, and has beaten implied odds by 22%.
The wallet has traded 41 events with the same strong 90% win rate, making this more than a one-off bet.
They are adding $1,472 to an existing $2,300 Lucio Ratti position at 64%, signaling continued conviction.

$2,941 on Lucio Ratti | Wallet win rate: 91%

Four-wallet Tai Sach buying cluster

Four wallets committed $156,960 to Tai Sach amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite this individual trader's poor long-term record.

Four wallets bought Tai Sach for a combined $156,960, creating a strong one-sided signal.
This $64,000 purchase at 32¢ has already repriced Tai Sach to about 40¢.
The market saw a 22,607× spike versus its historical trading activity, although this wallet's 58% win rate and $3.6 million lifetime loss weaken the signal.

$5,642 on Tai Sach | Wallet win rate: 56%

Four-wallet Tai Sach buying cluster

Four wallets committed $156,960 to Tai Sach amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite this individual trader's poor long-term record.

Four wallets bought Tai Sach for a combined $156,960, creating a strong one-sided signal.
This $64,000 purchase at 32¢ has already repriced Tai Sach to about 40¢.
The market saw a 22,607× spike versus its historical trading activity, although this wallet's 58% win rate and $3.6 million lifetime loss weaken the signal.

$15,941 on Tai Sach | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp bettor joins $158K Tai Sach push

A large coordinated Tai Sach position includes a proven 84% bettor with substantial edge, alongside a major volume spike, though some wallets are adding to existing positions and opposing flow is present.

A bettor with an 84% win rate across 372 resolved positions bought Tai Sach at 32¢.
Five wallets committed $158,255 to Tai Sach during a 2,629x historical volume spike.
The position is partly an add-on to existing exposure, while $104,586 of opposing Lucio Ratti buying makes this a contested signal.

$158,255 on Tai Sach

Three-wallet push into Ratti

A coordinated three-wallet push into Lucio Ratti coincided with a 2,629x volume spike and a 6-point daily price rise, though the main bettor has a weak historical win rate and was adding to an existing position.

Three wallets bought Lucio Ratti in the same window, totaling about $105,000.
The market saw a 2,629x historical volume spike and moved 6 percentage points higher over 24 hours.
The main bettor added roughly $93,000 to an existing $655,000 Ratti position, showing substantial conviction despite a 48% win rate.

$93,117 on Lucio Ratti | Wallet win rate: 48%

Four-wallet Tai Sach buying cluster

Four wallets committed $156,960 to Tai Sach amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite this individual trader's poor long-term record.

Four wallets bought Tai Sach for a combined $156,960, creating a strong one-sided signal.
This $64,000 purchase at 32¢ has already repriced Tai Sach to about 40¢.
The market saw a 22,607× spike versus its historical trading activity, although this wallet's 58% win rate and $3.6 million lifetime loss weaken the signal.

$64,000 on Tai Sach | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp bettors join $105K Lucio push

A $105,786 one-sided Lucio Ratti push includes two highly profitable bettors, a major volume spike, and meaningful concentration despite mixed wallet quality.

Four wallets bought $105,786 of Lucio Ratti, while market volume surged to roughly $101,000 in 24 hours.
One bettor wins 96% of 272 resolved positions, and another wins 79% across 43 bets.
Most purchases came at 62¢–68¢ even though the current price is 60¢, showing substantial conviction but also mark-to-market losses for the largest buyer.

$104,586 on Lucio Ratti

Four-wallet Tai Sach conviction cluster

Four wallets made a concentrated $156,960 bet on Tai Sach during an extreme 1,878x volume spike, and the price has risen from 32% to 40%.

Four wallets are betting $156,960 on Tai Sach, creating a strong one-sided signal.
Trading volume was 1,878 times the historical average, indicating an unusually concentrated burst of activity.
The position entered at 32% and has already moved to 40%, while this wallet is adding to an existing $392,632 Tai Sach position.

$114,441 on Tai Sach | Wallet win rate: 56%

96% win-rate bettor buys Tai Sach

A highly proven serial bettor with a 96% win rate and $7.1M profit made a fresh $10,000 concentrated bet on Tai Sach amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 178 of 186 resolved trades, with $7.1M in reported profit.
They placed roughly $10,000 on Tai Sach at an average price near 37¢, despite the market currently pricing Tai at 34%.
The trade coincided with a 166x volume spike, adding evidence of unusually strong positioning.

$10,000 on Tai Sach | Wallet win rate: 38%

Serial bettor scales into Lucio Ratti

A proven, high-volume serial bettor added $10,000 to an existing Lucio Ratti position during an 87.7x market volume spike, though their historical edge is modest relative to entry prices.

A serial cross-market bettor with 185 resolved trades and $525,000 lifetime profit added another $10,000 to this position.
The trade helped drive an 87.7x volume spike, while the market moved 8 percentage points toward Lucio Ratti.
This adds to an existing $15,083 position entered at the same 66¢ price, signaling continued conviction rather than profit-taking.

$10,000 on Lucio Ratti | Wallet win rate: 80%