Part of: Netherlands vs. Morocco - More Markets
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $148,354.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor in 18-wallet Over push
High-conviction Over buy from a profitable serial cross-market bettor, backed by 18-wallet one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp move to 100%.
- This bettor has won 73% of 436 resolved bets and is up $57.5k lifetime.
- 18 wallets bought the same side for $124.6k, with linked funding behind part of the flow.
- The entry was 52¢ before the market moved to 100%, alongside a 110x volume spike.
$1,461 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports trader
High-conviction Under bet from a very profitable serial sports trader, reinforced by same-direction wallet flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 518 events and a 64% historical win rate.
- Three wallets are all buying Under, with $11.7K in same-direction flow as volume spiked before the match.
$1,240 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp whale in linked cluster
A highly profitable sports bettor bought $22.8k of Over at 52¢ alongside an 18-wallet one-sided cluster, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor has won 63% of 18,011 resolved bets and is up $16.4M lifetime.
- 18 wallets all bought Over in the same window, totaling $124.6k, with linked funding detected.
- The trade entered at 52¢ before a fast move to 100%, showing the flow was on the right side of the price move.
$22,771 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable sports trader fading Over
Strong one-sided Under flow from 10 wallets plus a high-volume, profitable sports trader makes this worth surfacing despite this wallet likely taking profit on an earlier Over position.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 72% wins across 3,703 resolved bets and $184K profit.
- Ten wallets are all leaning Under, totaling about $51K on the same side.
- Selling Over at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 50¢, while the market now prices Under around 60¢.
$4,214 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%
85% sports sharp on Over
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought Over amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 131 markets and has bet across 48 events.
- They bought $4,000 of Over at 73¢, backing at least 2 goals in a liquid World Cup market.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 154x above its historical average before the match.
$2,604 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven sports bettor on Under
Proven high-volume sports bettor with 70% lifetime accuracy and positive P&L bought Under before a sharp market move from 78% to 84%.
- This bettor has won 70% of 2,575 resolved trades and is up about $109K lifetime.
- They bought Under at 78¢ before it moved to 84¢, matching a 21-point price move toward Under.
- The market saw a 32x volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%
73% winner leads Over cluster
An 11-wallet Over cluster is worth surfacing because it includes profitable, high-volume sports bettors and a 73% winner sizing heavily, though the market also has meaningful opposing Under flow.
- A bettor who wins 73% of resolved bets put about $53k on Over around 50–53¢.
- 11 wallets bought $79k of Over, and the current 40¢ price is below much of the cluster’s entry.
- This is a contested market: another group bought $51k of Under, so the edge is high-conviction but volatile.
$79,485 on Over
Profitable serial sports trader
High-conviction Under bet from a very profitable serial sports trader, reinforced by same-direction wallet flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 518 events and a 64% historical win rate.
- Three wallets are all buying Under, with $11.7K in same-direction flow as volume spiked before the match.
$2,372 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Serial bettor joins Over cluster
High-score soccer total alert with a serial cross-market bettor joining five-wallet one-sided Over flow during a 74x pre-event volume spike.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting $33.8k on Over in the same window.
- This bettor has won 80% of 35 resolved bets and has traded across 37 events.
- Market activity spiked 74x before the game, suggesting unusually strong pre-match positioning.
$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable bettor joins Under cluster
Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Under at 28–33¢, including a highly profitable serial sports trader, and the position has already moved to 38¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor up $16.4M lifetime joined this Under push with a $7.4k buy at 29¢.
- Three wallets bought $19.6k of Under in the same window, and the price has already moved from 29¢ to 38¢.
- This event is seeing heavy coordinated activity across 16 related markets and a 21.6x volume spike.
$19,560 on Under
Top Holders
- 0xce80...9a82 — Outcome 19249932, $42,759 (68% win rate)
- 0xdd8e...f023 — Outcome 19249932, $7,294 (65% win rate)
- 0x03b8...b4ae — Outcome 19249932, $6,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xe301...8654 — Outcome 19249932, $5,913 (60% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 19249932, $5,743 (70% win rate)
- 0x482a...c85d — Outcome 19249932, $5,021 (79% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 19249932, $5,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x79a6...eeec — Outcome 19249932, $3,922 (71% win rate)
- 0x4ffd...7821 — Outcome 19249932, $2,991 (59% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 19249932, $2,899
Related Theses
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets
England Ghana ends 1-1
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets


