Part of: Raptors vs. Celtics
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,225.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
4-market same-game bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with a huge sample size is building a same-game thesis across four related markets, which is more notable than this single losing entry alone.
- This wallet has made 8,374 resolved bets and is up about $89.6k overall
- They put $35.6k across 4 markets in the same game, suggesting a clear game script view
- Market volume is running 126.8x above normal, showing unusually heavy interest before tipoff
$1,629 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 52%
74% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 74% win-rate sports trader with over $1.2M in realized P&L is making another multi-market bet in this NBA event, which is worth watching despite the market itself being liquid.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $1.24M lifetime.
- They have traded 608 markets across 196 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Celtics -10.5 at 51¢, a fairly even price that implies meaningful confidence in a blowout.
$5,124 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 70%
98% win-rate sharp
A proven elite bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.59M profit is taking the Raptors side against the spread, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.59M lifetime.
- They've traded 318 markets across 233 events, so this is a seasoned cross-market operator rather than a one-off whale.
- They bought Raptors at 50¢, a price that implies an even game against the spread.
$5,628 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 68%
$1.24M sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 74% win rate and $1.24M P&L is taking another sizable position across this game event, making the bet worth tracking despite the liquid market.
- This bettor has won 1,619 of 2,196 resolved trades and is up $1.24M lifetime.
- They regularly trade across related markets in the same event, with 608 markets traded across 196 events.
- Bought Celtics -10.5 at 52¢, a near-even price that suggests they see the spread as better than a coin flip.
$4,928 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable new wallet fires again
A very new wallet with repeated large bets and early profitability is backing Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a fresh conviction signal worth watching despite the limited sample size.
- This new wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts and is up $3.4k so far
- It has won 6 of 7 resolved bets, an unusually strong early record for a fresh account
- The bet came in at 55¢ on Raptors +10.5, suggesting the trader sees the spread as mispriced
$1,471 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 60%
5-wallet linked Raptors pile-in
Five wallets, including linked funders, piled $130.8k into Raptors against the spread at 55¢ in a coordinated burst, creating a strong directional signal despite this being a liquid NBA market.
- Five wallets bought the same side within minutes, and two share a funder, for a combined $130.8k bet.
- The biggest wallet alone put down $123.3k at 55¢, showing unusually concentrated conviction on Raptors +10.5.
- This market saw a 1441x volume spike, and several wallets in the cluster have long profitable histories on Polymarket.
$130,774 on Raptors
98% win-rate bettor
A proven elite sports bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.59M profit is taking Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.59M lifetime.
- They have done this across 316 markets and 232 events, so this is a proven repeatable edge.
- Buying Raptors at 55¢ means backing them to lose by 10 or fewer points or win outright.
$2,984 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 68%
95% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate and strong realized edge is backing Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a credible sharp-side signal despite the modest bet size.
- This bettor wins 18 of 19 resolved trades and is up about $6.2k on roughly $18.9k invested.
- They bought Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, so they only need Boston to win by 10 or less for this side to cash.
- The market is reasonably liquid, which suggests this is a deliberate sharp bet rather than noise in a tiny market.
$1,687 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 62338900, $21,216 (73% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 62338900, $3,380
- 0x99a7...87b6 — Outcome 62338900, $3,068 (95% win rate)
- 0x2734...6d9e — Outcome 62338900, $1,794 (99% win rate)
- 0x705d...3438 — Outcome 62338900, $1,007
- 0xb212...c63c — Outcome 62338900, $976
- 0x23f9...3c2d — Outcome 62338900, $538
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 62338900, $463 (67% win rate)
- 0xb2fe...7558 — Outcome 62338900, $194 (92% win rate)
- 0x0f8c...686f — Outcome 62338900, $120
