Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

This Polymarket prediction market covers whether Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC will combine for over or under 2.5 total goals in their Premier League match on May 17 at 7:30 AM ET. It resolves to Over if 3 or more goals are scored, and Under if the final combined total is 0, 1, or 2 goals. PolySpotter is tracking $33,016 in smart money across 5 signals, including recent sharp interest buying Over.

In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 17 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,881.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a massive resolved history bought Under at 48¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 5,706 resolved bets and is up $8.9M lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader, with $14.3M deployed across 1,881 markets.
  • Entry at 48¢ backs Under while the market has already moved away from Over over the past day.

$1,489 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Over despite recent market drift lower.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $246K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 130 events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought Over at 53¢ even after the price fell 7 points today, implying they disagree with the recent move.

$3,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%

91% winner buying Under

Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate is making a large $14.4k buy on Under despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is profitable so far.
  • They put $14.4k on Under at 48¢, far larger than their prior resolved stake base.
  • Under has already moved up recently as Over fell 7 points on the day, supporting the direction.

$14,442 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 63% win rate and $575k lifetime P&L is buying Under on a market already moving toward lower scoring.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 452 resolved trades and is up $575k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market bettor, with $2.1M placed across 275 events.
  • The market has moved toward Under, with Over down 7 points in the last day.

$4,623 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large profitable history is adding $7.5k on Under despite recent market movement away from that side.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 452 resolved bets and is up $575k lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.1M tracked across 362 markets.
  • They bought $7.5k of Under at 47–48¢ while the market is liquid and tightly priced.

$7,537 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-run profit record bought Under despite the market still pricing it near even.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 452 resolved bets and is up $575k lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.1M deployed across 274 events.
  • Buying Under at 47¢ goes against recent Over pricing, implying they see value near even odds.

$2,914 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

91% sports sharp

Sharp sports wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Over 2.5 at 55¢ despite recent downward price movement.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up about $98.8k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 27 events with a 91% hit rate.
  • Buying Over at 55¢ goes against the recent 8–10 point price drop, suggesting a contrarian view.

$1,100 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with 1,062 resolved bets and $90.9k lifetime profit is buying Over 2.5 at 55¢, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $90,941 across 1,062 resolved bets, with a 63% hit rate.
  • They have traded across 79 events, suggesting this is part of a repeat sports-betting strategy.
  • Bought Over at 55¢, implying they see value despite the market drifting down recently.

$1,055 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp trio buying Over

Three wallets are all buying Over, including two highly profitable sports bettors with 91% and 94% historical win rates and strong cross-market track records.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: 94% and 91% wins with about $172k combined profit.
  • All 3 wallets are aligned on Over, with $3.3k bought at 55¢.
  • One wallet has traded 26 similar events with a 91% win rate, suggesting repeat sports edge rather than a one-off bet.

$3,259 on Over

94% sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit sold Under, equivalent to buying Over at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $73,148 lifetime.
  • They have 118 resolved positions with an average entry near 49¢, suggesting a strong record beyond just favorites.
  • Selling Under at 45¢ is equivalent to buying Over at 55¢ on a liquid Premier League goals market.

$1,103 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd9c4...6f95 Under, $90,269 (48% win rate)
  2. 0xac47...d234 Over, $48,000 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x912a...2e6a Over, $45,264 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xcd65...ee96 Over, $45,175 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b Under, $32,444 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x10a6...4d8b Under, $30,208 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x2a91...c6b1 Over, $20,000 (59% win rate)
  8. 0x6c74...bd4e Over, $19,230 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x9770...0ff5 Under, $17,400 (63% win rate)
  10. 0xf284...b9f9 Under, $15,555 (92% win rate)

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Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

1dAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets$65,881 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL
Over
52¢
Under
49¢

In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 17 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Over
66¢
58¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

1h ago

$1,489 on Under at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$3,500 on Over at 53¢

53¢52¢1¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$14,442 on Under at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$4,623 on Under at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$7,537 on Under at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

2h ago

$2,914 on Under at 47¢

47¢49¢2¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$1,100 on Over at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$1,055 on Over at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$3,259 on Over at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

4h ago

$1,103 on Over at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$1,104 on Under at 46¢

46¢49¢3¢

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$23,754 on Over at 54¢

54¢52¢2¢

Related Theses