Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers whether Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC will combine for 3 or more goals in their Premier League match on May 17 at 7:30 AM ET. “Over” wins if the match total reaches at least 3 goals, while “Under” wins if the teams score 2 or fewer combined goals. PolySpotter is tracking $2,615 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent sharp interest on both Over and Under.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 17 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $107,690.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable history bought Over at 72¢ before a rapid move to 100¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 538 resolved markets and $34K profit.
- They bought Over at 72¢ before the market ripped to 100%, showing strong timing on the move.
- This wallet is highly active across sports markets, with $881K flagged across 210 events.
$1,575 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%
84% winner on contrarian Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record bought Under at 52¢, making this a notable contrarian position despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $8,061 lifetime.
- They bought Under at 52¢ even though the market now heavily favors Over at 72%.
- This is a liquid, high-volume sports market, so the edge comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.
$1,040 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
95% winner buying Over
A highly profitable 95% sports bettor bought Over despite a falling market, with supporting one-sided flow, volume spike, and rapid price impact.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $444,785 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 391 events, with $768,315 in cross-market volume.
- Three wallets bought the same side, and Over saw an 18.5x volume spike with a fast 19.5-point move.
$2,967 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
Three-wallet Over push
Coordinated one-sided Over buying across three wallets, a sharp volume spike, and rapid price impact make this soccer total worth surfacing despite the lead wallet's mediocre win rate.
- Three wallets bought the same side, putting $12.6k into Over during the scan window.
- Market volume spiked 18.5x above normal and Over jumped 19.5 points in under 3 minutes.
- The lead bettor bought $7.8k at 47¢, while the market is now around 44¢.
$7,761 on Over | Wallet win rate: 44%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% win rate and $635,936 lifetime profit sold Over, implying a buy on Under at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $635,936 lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, with $4.28M placed across 260 events.
- Selling Over at 47¢ implies buying Under at 53¢, aligning with a 12-point one-day move toward Under.
$1,308 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit is buying Over despite a sharp recent move against it, making this a contrarian but track-record-backed soccer position.
- This bettor is up $102k lifetime across 130 resolved bets.
- They have traded 81 events and 103 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting approach.
- Entry at 28¢ is contrarian after Over fell 34 points in the last day.
$1,156 on Over | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large profitable history is buying Over despite a sharp recent price drop.
- This bettor has won 63% of 452 resolved bets and is up $575k lifetime.
- They are a high-volume cross-market trader, with $2.1M across 362 related markets flagged historically.
- They bought Over around 47–48¢ after the market fell 17 points in a day, suggesting they see the drop as overdone.
$3,464 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp wallet backs Under
Surfaced because a proven 84% winner joined a 4-wallet Under cluster during a major volume spike, even though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $8.1k lifetime.
- Four wallets put $5.8k on Under around 52–53¢ during an 11x volume spike.
- The market has since moved against them, so Under is now available much cheaper near 28¢.
$5,785 on Under
Sharp bettor on Over
Sharp profitable soccer bettor with an 86% historical win rate bought Over, backed by coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $78.7K lifetime.
- Six wallets have bought the same Over side for $20.5K, including linked wallets.
- Market volume is surging at 23.9x normal ahead of the match, even after Over fell 14 points today.
$1,950 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor in linked Over flow
A proven profitable sports bettor joined coordinated one-sided Over flow from six wallets, including linked funding, despite the market moving lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $27,765 lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Over outcome for $20,512, with two linked by funding.
- Their 52¢ entry is above the current 46¢ price, suggesting the copy entry is cheaper than the sharp's fill.
$1,586 on Over | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xd9c4...6f95 — Under, $90,269 (48% win rate)
- 0xac47...d234 — Over, $70,291 (45% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...8bc6 — Over, $68,032
- 0x204f...5e14 — Under, $47,563 (55% win rate)
- 0x912a...2e6a — Over, $45,264 (80% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Over, $42,113 (44% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Under, $32,191 (65% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Under, $30,208 (91% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Under, $23,055 (93% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Under, $22,341 (100% win rate)
