Part of: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

This Polymarket market covers the May 31 MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $15,331 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp bettor activity and a 92% winner buying Twins. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponement, cancellation, or a tie.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,970.

Categories: Sports, MLB, Games, baseball

Notable Trades

93% winning sharp bettor

Surface: a highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is buying the Twins at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $1.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 222 events and $2.4M across markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see the Twins as underpriced versus the current market.

$5,000 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable whale-led cluster

Three wallets bought $10.3k of Pittsburgh at 60¢ during an 81x pre-game volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor up $2.15M lifetime.

  • A bettor up $2.15M lifetime led this move with a $7.3k Pittsburgh buy.
  • Three wallets all bought Pittsburgh at 60¢, totaling $10.3k in the same direction.
  • Pre-game volume is running 81x above its historical average, suggesting strong momentum into the matchup.

$10,331 on Pittsburgh Pirates

99% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 99% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Pittsburgh at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 189 of 190 resolved bets and is up $216K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 153 sports events with the same 99% hit rate.
  • Entry at 60¢ implies confidence despite a liquid market with tight pricing.

$2,272 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with 1,282 resolved bets and +$596k lifetime P&L is buying Pittsburgh at 59¢.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 1,282 resolved bets and is up $596k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 198 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off guess.
  • Entry at 59¢ backs Pittsburgh as a modest favorite in a liquid MLB market.

$3,547 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%

92% winner buying Twins

Elite sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $1.58M lifetime profit bought $8.8K of Minnesota Twins at 42¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.58M lifetime.
  • They have bet across 230 sports events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see Minnesota as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.

$8,820 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9a0e...5e62 Outcome 31490269, $50,000
  2. 0x38f0...2768 Outcome 31490269, $21,500 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 31490269, $15,065 (60% win rate)
  4. 0xaca0...9b86 Outcome 31490269, $13,703 (42% win rate)
  5. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 31490269, $12,500 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x8fba...d08a Outcome 31490269, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  7. 0xebe6...9278 Outcome 31490269, $6,084
  8. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 31490269, $5,574
  9. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 98056397, $3,677 (53% win rate)
  10. 0xcacf...35ff Outcome 31490269, $2,500

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Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

5dMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$29,970 tracked5 signalsSportsMLBGamesbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 31 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIN
3
27-33
Final
PIT
9
32-28
MIN +139PIT -168O/U 7.5
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Attendance
19,358
Price History — “Pittsburgh Pirates
63¢
56¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1d ago

$5,000 on Minnesota Twins at 40¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1d ago

$10,331 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 60¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1d ago

$2,272 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 60¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1d ago

$3,547 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 59¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1d ago

$8,820 on Minnesota Twins at 42¢

Related Theses