Part of: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
This Polymarket market covers the May 31 MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $15,331 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp bettor activity and a 92% winner buying Twins. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponement, cancellation, or a tie.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,970.
Categories: Sports, MLB, Games, baseball
Notable Trades
93% winning sharp bettor
Surface: a highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is buying the Twins at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $1.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 222 events and $2.4M across markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see the Twins as underpriced versus the current market.
$5,000 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable whale-led cluster
Three wallets bought $10.3k of Pittsburgh at 60¢ during an 81x pre-game volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor up $2.15M lifetime.
- A bettor up $2.15M lifetime led this move with a $7.3k Pittsburgh buy.
- Three wallets all bought Pittsburgh at 60¢, totaling $10.3k in the same direction.
- Pre-game volume is running 81x above its historical average, suggesting strong momentum into the matchup.
$10,331 on Pittsburgh Pirates
99% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 99% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Pittsburgh at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 189 of 190 resolved bets and is up $216K lifetime.
- They have traded across 153 sports events with the same 99% hit rate.
- Entry at 60¢ implies confidence despite a liquid market with tight pricing.
$2,272 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with 1,282 resolved bets and +$596k lifetime P&L is buying Pittsburgh at 59¢.
- This bettor has won 66% of 1,282 resolved bets and is up $596k lifetime.
- They have traded across 198 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off guess.
- Entry at 59¢ backs Pittsburgh as a modest favorite in a liquid MLB market.
$3,547 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%
92% winner buying Twins
Elite sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $1.58M lifetime profit bought $8.8K of Minnesota Twins at 42¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.58M lifetime.
- They have bet across 230 sports events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see Minnesota as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.
$8,820 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x9a0e...5e62 — Outcome 31490269, $50,000
- 0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 31490269, $21,500 (92% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 31490269, $15,065 (60% win rate)
- 0xaca0...9b86 — Outcome 31490269, $13,703 (42% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 31490269, $12,500 (93% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — Outcome 31490269, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xebe6...9278 — Outcome 31490269, $6,084
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 31490269, $5,574
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 98056397, $3,677 (53% win rate)
- 0xcacf...35ff — Outcome 31490269, $2,500
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