Part of: Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between paiN and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A upper bracket semifinal, scheduled for May 12 at 2:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or delay rules applying if no winner is determined within 7 days. PolySpotter is tracking $4,172 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts pointing to FUT steam and sharp bettors fading the favorite.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between paiN and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $163,008.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp buying momentum
Profitable wallet with a 75% resolved-bet win rate bought paiN at 40¢ alongside a rapid upward price move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $31.9K lifetime.
- They bought paiN at 40¢ as the price jumped 12 points in under 4 minutes.
- Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if paiN wins.
$2,172 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 75%
92% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable sports/esports bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought paiN despite the market moving against them afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $439K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 183 events with the same 92% win rate.
- They bought paiN at 23¢, taking the underdog side in a liquid match market.
$2,000 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp esports bettor buying momentum
Sharp wallet with an 83% resolved win rate bought FUT at 62¢ before a fast move to 78¢, though the current price is already above the suggested copy range.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $4.2K lifetime.
- They bought FUT at 62¢ before the market quickly jumped toward 78¢.
- This looks like a re-entry after previously holding FUT at a much lower average price.
$1,378 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 79%
77% serial cross-market winner
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% record and +$241k lifetime P&L bought FUT despite the price later retracing.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $241k lifetime.
- They have traded across 284 events and nearly $4.9M of cross-market volume.
- Their FUT buy came during a fast 17-point move, and the market is now below their 80¢ entry.
$2,000 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable serial esports/sports-style trader with 216 resolved bets bought $8.1k of FUT and drove a rapid move, though the market has since pulled back below their 82¢ entry.
- This bettor has a long record: 216 resolved bets, 63% winners, and $127k in lifetime profit.
- Their $8.1k FUT buy helped drive a sharp 17-point move in under 3 minutes.
- The market has since pulled back to around 70¢, below their 82¢ entry, offering a cheaper follow than the original trade.
$8,079 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market esports bettor bought FUT at 68¢ while the market moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 70% of 950 resolved trades and is up about $749K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $2.4M bet across 476 markets in 309 events.
- FUT moved up 17 points in under 3 minutes, and this buy followed that sharp momentum.
$3,950 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 70%
81% winner chasing momentum
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 81% resolved win rate bought FUT Esports at 68¢ amid a rapid 17-point upward move.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $8.0K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events with $89.7K deployed and strong results.
- FUT Esports moved up 17 points in under 3 minutes, and this wallet bought into the momentum at 68¢.
$1,967 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying paiN at 32% in a liquid CS market, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a modest alert score.
- This bettor has won 68% of 729 resolved bets and is up about $746K lifetime.
- They have traded across 399 events and $3.8M of cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 32¢ implies they see paiN as mispriced despite the market favoring FUT Esports.
$1,129 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp group fading favorite
Three wallets are buying paiN against the current market favorite, led by a highly experienced cross-market trader with 73% win rate and positive lifetime P&L, though the market has since moved below one buyer's top entry.
- A bettor with 1,834 resolved trades wins 73% of the time and is up $65K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $6.5K on paiN, taking the underdog side while FUT trades as a 78% favorite.
- One wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 212 events, suggesting this is part of a broader sports betting edge.
$6,536 on paiN
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought FUT after a rapid 17-point move, suggesting sharp esports momentum despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor has a long record: 73% wins across 1,834 resolved bets and +$65.6K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 212 events with $716K traded.
- FUT Esports jumped 17 points in under 3 minutes, and this wallet bought into the move at 66¢.
$1,165 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — paiN, $518,400 (58% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — FUT Esports, $125,107 (53% win rate)
- 0x47a8...52f9 — paiN, $114,382 (100% win rate)
- 0x4d6e...5cfd — FUT Esports, $87,462 (48% win rate)
- 0x6ade...f5b0 — FUT Esports, $60,914 (51% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — paiN, $59,309
- 0x88d1...18da — FUT Esports, $51,020 (69% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — FUT Esports, $50,027 (63% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — FUT Esports, $42,808 (74% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — FUT Esports, $40,336 (65% win rate)
