Part of: Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $178,292.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite sharp buying Legacy
Proven high-volume sharp bettor with a 76% long-run win rate and $22.6M profit bought $33.8k of Legacy at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 1,240 bets and is up $22.6M lifetime.
- They put $33.8k on Legacy at 49¢, a meaningful stake even in a liquid market.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with over $10.7M deployed across 249 events.
$33,750 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 77%
Two sharp whales on Legacy
Three wallets bought $115k of Legacy, led by two highly profitable esports/sports traders with 76–77% win rates and massive lifetime volume.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 76–77% of resolved trades and are up $25.9M combined.
- The group bought $115k of Legacy at 49¢, a large one-sided position in a market with $150k liquidity.
- Volume spiked 176x before the match, with serial cross-market traders driving the move.
$115,090 on Legacy
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 62% record over 1,464 resolved trades bought Legacy at 47¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 62% of 1,464 resolved trades and is up about $24.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 501 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 47¢ implies Legacy needs to cover the -1.5 map handicap less than half the time to be profitable.
$1,737 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable new repeat whale
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early profitability is buying M80 in a liquid esports handicap market.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $17.9k and has been flagged 11 times for large bets.
- The bettor has 6 active positions and has put $35k into similar flagged trades, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see M80 +1.5 as modestly mispriced despite the market sitting near even odds.
$3,091 on M80 | Wallet win rate: 67%
New wallet winning early
A 20-hour-old wallet is making its third large bet, already 2-0 with nearly $10k profit, and is buying M80 at 53¢.
- This 20-hour-old bettor is already 2-0 and up $9.8k on resolved trades.
- They have now placed 3 large flagged bets totaling about $15k, suggesting repeated conviction.
- Buying M80 at 53¢ means they are backing the slight underdog side despite a tight market.
$4,875 on M80 | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable whale on thin book
A highly profitable wallet with a large resolved-bet history is making an $18.6k M80 buy that dwarfs recent volume on a relatively quiet esports market.
- This bettor is up $472k across 417 resolved bets, with a 60% hit rate on large volume.
- The $18.6k buy is about 3x the market’s recent daily volume, showing strong conviction.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see M80 as meaningfully more likely than the current market price.
$18,550 on M80 | Wallet win rate: 68%
Perfect-record bettor buys M80
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a perfect 13-0 resolved record and strong lifetime profit.
- This bettor is 13-for-13 on resolved trades and is up $39,780 lifetime.
- They bought M80 at 53¢ in a relatively small market with only $6,217 of 24h volume.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see M80 as slightly better than current market odds suggest.
$1,198 on M80 | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 27085036, $199,341 (62% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Outcome 27085036, $35,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 27085036, $21,300 (81% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 27085036, $9,620 (79% win rate)
- 0x19a1...ab38 — Outcome 27085036, $5,832 (67% win rate)
- 0x3e0f...4790 — Outcome 27085036, $2,260 (100% win rate)
- 0x5838...8ca6 — Outcome 27085036, $2,200 (92% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 27085036, $2,102 (90% win rate)
- 0x54ea...f74a — Outcome 27085036, $1,098 (57% win rate)
- 0x0659...d74d — Outcome 27085036, $1,095 (73% win rate)
