Part of: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,055.

Notable Trades

Profitable whale backs Pat

A concentrated $8.4k shift toward Guilherme Pat includes a highly profitable whale and a 130x volume spike, though prior positions and inconsistent current pricing reduce copyability.

Four wallets moved $8,403 toward Guilherme Pat, including one bettor with $35.0M in lifetime profit.
The flow coincided with a 130x volume spike and an 18.6-point drop in Asplund’s price.
Several trades appear to be position management, so the signal is meaningful but less clean than a wholly new cluster.

$8,403 on Guilherme Pat

Four-wallet Asplund buying cluster

Four wallets added $17.6K to Steven Asplund at the same price, creating a notable coordinated UFC position despite mixed individual track records.

Four wallets collectively added $17,614 to Steven Asplund around 71¢, showing concentrated one-sided conviction.
The trades represented a reported 660x surge over the market’s historical activity baseline.
All four wallets were already holding Asplund, so this is aggressive scaling rather than a fresh position; the group’s individual records are mixed.

$17,614 on Steven Asplund

96% winner scaling into Asplund

A proven 96% bettor with a substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Asplund position despite the thin market.

This bettor has won 105 of 109 resolved trades and is up $263,699.
They are adding $3,000 to an existing Asplund position at 74¢ in a relatively thin market.
The bettor’s average winning entry is 62%, making a 96% win rate unusually strong rather than merely favorite-chasing.

$3,000 on Steven Asplund | Wallet win rate: 96%

Serial sharp scaling into Asplund

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate is adding $4,037 to an existing Asplund position in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor has won 82% of 91 resolved trades and is up $384,624 lifetime.
They added $4,037 to an existing Asplund position at 73¢, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off entry.
The trade was more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume, making the position notable despite only modest recent price movement.

$4,037 on Steven Asplund | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x684b...8409 — Outcome 96606150, $9,447 (92% win rate)
0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 96606150, $6,339 (73% win rate)
0xe8ad...2602 — Outcome 96606150, $5,500
0xabf5...cfeb — Outcome 96606150, $4,000 (63% win rate)
0xd554...a27a — Outcome 96606150, $3,720
0xea60...cc6b — Outcome 96606150, $3,226 (53% win rate)
0xe2ba...1883 — Outcome 96606150, $3,045 (78% win rate)
0x8089...f935 — Outcome 96606150, $3,000
0x88ca...1dcd — Outcome 96606150, $2,631
0xbfdf...8e02 — Outcome 96606150, $1,500 (39% win rate)

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UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)$33,055 tracked4 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Steven Asplund”

75¢

70¢

65¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction