What is the BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force prediction market?

It is a Polymarket esports market on who will win Game 1 between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in their LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group match.

When does the BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force market resolve?

The match is scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, and the market is listed with a resolution date of August 23, 2026 at 16:10 UTC.

What outcome makes this market resolve to BNK FEARX?

The market resolves to BNK FEARX if they win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force.

What happens if the match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves based on the completed Game 1 if that game has a clearly determined winner.

What smart money activity is tracked for this LCK market?

PolySpotter tracks $2,002 in smart money and one signal. Recent alerts include backing for Nongshim Red Force as well as a sharp cluster supporting BNK FEARX.

Part of: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

This Polymarket market tracks the Game 1 winner between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, scheduled for August 23, 2026. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1; PolySpotter currently tracks $2,002 in smart money across one signal, with alerts showing activity on both teams.

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,626.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

10-wallet Nongshim conviction cluster

Ten wallets put nearly $47,000 on Nongshim during an extreme volume spike, while this trader added $1,760 to an existing position despite recent price weakness.

Ten wallets bought Nongshim Red Force for nearly $47,000 in the same window.
Trading volume was 668.9 times its recent average, signaling unusually concentrated interest before the match.
This bettor added $1,760 to an existing $34,806 Nongshim position, showing continued conviction despite the price moving against it.

$2,002 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 55%

10-wallet Nongshim conviction cluster

Ten wallets put nearly $47,000 on Nongshim during an extreme volume spike, while this trader added $1,760 to an existing position despite recent price weakness.

Ten wallets bought Nongshim Red Force for nearly $47,000 in the same window.
Trading volume was 668.9 times its recent average, signaling unusually concentrated interest before the match.
This bettor added $1,760 to an existing $34,806 Nongshim position, showing continued conviction despite the price moving against it.

$1,760 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 55%

93% winner backs Nongshim

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate made a $5.3K fresh bet on Nongshim, alongside four other one-sided wallets and a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 358 of 386 resolved positions, with $943,791 in lifetime profit.
Five wallets are betting Nongshim for a combined $28,412 after a 1,927x volume spike.
The $5,328 entry was at 52¢, while Nongshim is now priced near 38%, making this a contrarian but high-conviction position.

$5,328 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster backing BNK FEARX

A large one-sided BNK FEARX cluster is reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors and a sharp upward repricing, making this a strong esports copy-trade signal despite some existing positions.

22 wallets committed nearly $69,500 to BNK FEARX, while the price rose 16 percentage points to 58%.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 97% win rates over 209 and 62 resolved bets and an 89% win rate over 215 bets.
The largest fresh-looking entry was $9,712 at 49%, implying substantial upside if the market returns to the cluster's apparent conviction.

$44,756 on BNK FEARX

Serial bettor in five-wallet Nongshim cluster

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated Nongshim bet amid a major volume spike and coordinated five-wallet buying, though the position has since moved sharply against it.

This bettor has won 71% of 2,359 resolved trades and is up about $2.0 million lifetime.
Five wallets bought Nongshim for roughly $28,000 during a 1,927x volume spike, signaling concentrated conviction.
The trader entered around 52¢, but Nongshim has since fallen to 38¢ while BNK FEARX rose to 62%, making the thesis unconfirmed and higher risk.

$11,780 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 71%