Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,330.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader fades Orioles

A profitable serial trader is exiting Baltimore after a sharp price surge, creating a contrarian Athletics buy signal despite the trade likely being profit-taking.

  • This bettor is up $116,051 across 831 resolved trades and has traded 82 events.
  • They sold Baltimore at 78¢ after the price surged roughly 38 percentage points beyond its historical range.
  • The prior Orioles position was bought around 45¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh bearish bet; the equivalent contrarian entry is Athletics at 22¢.

$1,007 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 62%

Experienced bettor backs Athletics

Three wallets concentrated $4.3K on Athletics, including a highly experienced profitable trader, though one trade was routine exit activity and the position is currently underwater.

  • A bettor with 7,535 resolved trades is up $5.9M and wins 65% of bets, providing meaningful support for the Athletics position.
  • Three wallets put $4,323 behind Athletics, including two fresh buys at 67¢ and 73¢.
  • The market has since fallen to 56%, while the Orioles sell came from an existing position and appears partly routine profit-taking.

$4,323 on Athletics

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 81746744, $15,112 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xb071...63fa Outcome 81746744, $6,750 (74% win rate)
  3. 0xd3fa...a26c Outcome 81746744, $3,640 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 81746744, $3,571 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 81746744, $2,664 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x8753...85ad Outcome 81746744, $1,667 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x519d...37a1 Outcome 81746744, $1,537
  8. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 81746744, $1,279 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 81746744, $1,224 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x9707...e3bc Outcome 81746744, $1,000 (83% win rate)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

ResolvedBaltimore Orioles vs. Athletics$5,330 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Athletics, scheduled for August 30 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
8
68-69
Final
ATH
5
53-84
BAL -147ATH +137O/U 10
Venue
Sutter Health Park, Sacramento
Attendance
7,606
Price History — “Baltimore Orioles
98¢
74¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

12d ago

$1,007 on Athletics at 22¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

12d ago

$4,323 on Athletics at 67¢

Related Theses