Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,693.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven bettor scaling into Bilibili

A proven 79% win-rate bettor with a documented edge is adding to an existing Bilibili Gaming position amid an exceptional pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 79% of trades across 80 resolved positions and is up $11,710 lifetime.
The wallet is adding to an existing Bilibili Gaming position, increasing conviction rather than merely taking a new speculative punt.
Market activity is running 684x above its historical average, while this serial cross-market trader has followed 43 events.

$1,288 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

96% win-rate bettor scaling into Bilibili

A highly proven esports bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $22,284 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position at 67%.

This bettor has won 96% of 514 resolved positions and is up $3.72 million.
They are adding $22,284 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position, bringing their investment to roughly $55,617.
The 67¢ entry is backed by a serial cross-market trader active across 931 markets and 510 events.

$22,284 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

Serial sharp scaling into ThunderTalk

A proven 78% win-rate bettor with substantial edge is adding to an existing ThunderTalk position at 34¢.

This bettor wins 78% of 129 resolved trades, buying at an average price of 47%, and is up $279,049.
They have traded across 43 events and 47 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
The wallet is adding to an existing $11,222 ThunderTalk position at 34¢, implying strong conviction despite the market pricing them as a 34% outcome.

$2,115 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%

98% win-rate bettor scaling into Bilibili

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding nearly $20,000 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position at 66%.

This bettor has won 98% of 80 resolved trades and is up $359,598.
They are adding nearly $20,000 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position rather than taking a one-off bet.
The 66¢ entry is well below the bettor’s average winning price of 74%, suggesting meaningful perceived value.

$19,730 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%

Three-wallet BLG conviction cluster

Three wallets added $7,276 to Bilibili Gaming at 66%, including a profitable bettor and a serial cross-market trader, creating a meaningful coordinated esports signal.

Three wallets added $7,276 to Bilibili Gaming at 66%, all reinforcing existing positions in the same direction.
One bettor is 6-0 on resolved trades with a $1,277 profit, while another is 62% accurate and up $6,313.
The market is liquid with a 1¢ spread, so the coordinated buying is more informative than a thin-market price distortion.

$7,276 on Bilibili Gaming

Top Holders

0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 55429436, $33,333 (96% win rate)
0xf0b6...2fef — Outcome 55429436, $29,894 (98% win rate)
0x6236...08d2 — Outcome 55429436, $14,858 (99% win rate)
0xe077...369b — Outcome 55429436, $9,182 (84% win rate)
0xe504...600e — Outcome 55429436, $3,610 (70% win rate)
0x2e5b...2b2d — Outcome 55429436, $3,577 (65% win rate)
0xbba9...7800 — Outcome 55429436, $3,036 (100% win rate)
0xa8b6...fcda — Outcome 55429436, $2,000 (63% win rate)
0xd052...563d — Outcome 55429436, $1,499 (85% win rate)
0x7dc6...4b55 — Outcome 55429436, $1,212 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

NRG wins maps two through four

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili Gaming Wins Both Games

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA wins series and games

Covers 3 related markets

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$52,693 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.