Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
This prediction market covers the LEC Playoffs upper bracket semifinal BO5 between Karmine Corp and G2 Esports, resolving to the team that wins the match. PolySpotter is tracking live Polymarket odds plus $13,464 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including sharp esports alerts. The listed resolution time is May 23, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, with cancellation or major delay rules applying if no winner is determined.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and G2 Esports in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $160,104.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable whale backing favorite
A highly profitable high-volume bettor put $20.7k on G2 amid a major pre-event volume spike and related event positioning.
- This bettor is up $607k lifetime across 853 resolved bets.
- They put $20.7k on G2 at 87¢ in a market seeing a 56.7x volume spike.
- The wallet has also positioned across 3 related event markets, suggesting a broader match thesis.
$20,731 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% long-term win rate and $59k profit bought G2 amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $59,306 lifetime.
- They have traded 73 related events across 89 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Market volume is running 33.9x above its historical average before the match.
$2,270 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp underdog bettor
Surfacing because a highly profitable sharp esports bettor with an 83% record bought Karmine Corp despite the market favoring G2.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $286k lifetime.
- They are buying Karmine Corp at 27¢, an underdog price with roughly 3.7x upside if it wins.
- The market also saw a 34x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before the match.
$1,026 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 83%
New whale backing G2
A 2-hour-old wallet is repeatedly making large G2 bets, with nearly $10k flagged and early profit, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- A brand-new wallet has put nearly $10k into flagged bets within its first few hours.
- This trade adds $6.8k on G2 at 73¢, showing concentrated conviction before the match.
- Market volume is running 33.9x above its historical average, suggesting broader pre-event interest.
$6,844 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 95% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit bought $13.9k of G2 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $315k lifetime.
- They put $13.9k on G2 at 73¢, matching the current market favorite.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 86x above its historical average.
$13,934 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%
Fresh profitable wallet on G2
Very fresh wallet with early profit is repeatedly betting G2 during a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed conviction despite a liquid market.
- A 2-hour-old wallet is already making repeat large bets, with about $4.9K flagged so far.
- The wallet has one resolved win and is up $1.9K on $5K invested.
- Market volume is surging 86x above normal ahead of the match, supporting the directional move.
$1,895 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
New esports wallet, 6-0 start
A 15-hour-old wallet with a 6-0 resolved record and early profit is making another repeat bet amid an 86x pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet has won its first 6 resolved bets and is up $359 so far.
- It has already built 6 positions in just 15 hours, with $2.1K total flagged across repeat bets.
- Market volume is surging 86x above its historical average before the match.
$1,026 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
79% serial sharp
Surfacing because a proven high-volume bettor with a 79% win rate and $322k lifetime profit bought G2 during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $322k lifetime.
- They have traded 592 markets across 311 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Market activity spiked 86x above normal before the match, adding momentum behind the G2 buy.
$7,294 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long track record bought G2 into a major pre-event volume spike, though the individual trade size is modest.
- This bettor is up $353,797 across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
- They have traded 74 related events and win 66% of resolved bets, suggesting repeatable event-level edge.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 86x above its historical average before the match.
$1,432 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 66%
Perfect 30-for-30 bettor
Surface because a profitable 30-for-30 bettor is buying G2 alongside a major pre-event volume spike, even though the bet size is modest.
- This bettor has won 30 of 30 resolved bets and is up $14.6K lifetime.
- They are buying G2 at 72¢ ahead of the match, backing the market favorite.
- Market activity has surged 86x versus its historical average, suggesting strong pre-event attention.
$1,000 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x996a...e3cc — G2 Esports, $84,547 (100% win rate)
- 0x2cad...eb66 — Karmine Corp, $56,866 (66% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — G2 Esports, $50,483 (72% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Karmine Corp, $35,484 (72% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — G2 Esports, $35,308 (53% win rate)
- 0x85d5...45ee — G2 Esports, $34,013 (79% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Karmine Corp, $25,908 (51% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Karmine Corp, $25,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x2037...473d — G2 Esports, $25,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xac75...1319 — Karmine Corp, $25,000 (51% win rate)
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