Part of: South Africa vs. Canada - Halftime Result

South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,700.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

87% winner led Yes move

Sharp 87% win-rate wallet bought Yes at 55¢ ahead of a major move to 72¢, with supporting volume spike and same-side wallet flow.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $118k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 55¢ before the market jumped to 72¢.
Volume spiked 73x and 3 wallets are all buying the same side.

$1,353 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Linked cluster fading draw

A linked 3-wallet cluster put $9.2k on No during a major volume surge, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.

Three wallets, including two sharing a funder, put $9.2k on No in the same market.
Volume is up 73x versus normal, suggesting unusual attention around this halftime result.
Their average entry was around 42¢, while No is now 28¢ after the market moved against them.

$9,189 on No

Serial bettor joins Yes cluster

High composite alert with a serial cross-market trader joining coordinated Yes flow amid a 72.9x volume spike and a sharp move from 56¢ to 72¢.

Three wallets bought the same Yes side for $6.9K total, pointing to coordinated conviction.
Volume surged 72.9x above normal before the match, and Yes jumped 28 points in the last day.
This bettor has traded 37 markets across 32 events with a 73% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

87% winner leads Yes cluster

High-scoring cluster with five wallets buying Yes, including a profitable 87% winner, alongside a 155x volume spike and a 15.5-point price move.

A bettor who wins 87% of resolved positions and is up $118K joined this Yes side.
Five wallets bought $8.7K of Yes, with entries from 46¢ to 56¢ before the market moved to 60¢.
Volume is running 155x normal and the Yes price is up 15.5 points in 24 hours.

$8,658 on Yes

93% winner backs halftime draw

Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and strong edge is buying Yes on the halftime draw at 47¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $9.0K lifetime.
Their past wins came at 42¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced sports markets.
Entry at 47¢ implies they see the halftime draw as better than a coin flip.

$2,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is buying Yes on a relatively small soccer halftime market.

This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with a 93% hit rate.
A $1,500 buy is nearly half of this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction at 45¢.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 98430336, $23,450
0x4bc5...e563 — Outcome 98430336, $5,000
0x92d8...9762 — Outcome 98430336, $4,896 (50% win rate)
0xa700...102b — Outcome 98430336, $4,061 (55% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 98430336, $3,600 (85% win rate)
0x7b7f...d56c — Outcome 98430336, $3,477
0x3d7d...10fc — Outcome 98430336, $1,778 (52% win rate)
0x76aa...eff9 — Outcome 98430336, $652 (61% win rate)
0xe4cb...a366 — Outcome 98430336, $409
0x7b18...577e — Outcome 98430336, $408

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?

ResolvedSouth Africa vs. Canada - Halftime Result$24,700 tracked6 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 28, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.