Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Patrick Kypson and Stefanos Tsitsipas, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, it may resolve according to the listed cancellation rules. With $14,578 in smart money tracked and several recent alerts tied to Tsitsipas buying activity, traders are watching this market closely for updated odds and sentiment.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Kypson and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Kypson' if Patrick Kypson advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Patrick Kypson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,074.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet buying dip
A 12-day-old wallet with repeated $20k+ flagged activity and early profits bought into a fast-moving tennis market, suggesting a new high-conviction bettor worth tracking despite the modest single-trade size.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts and is up $1.1k early.
- They bought Patrick Kypson at 48¢ right after a fast 10-point price drop.
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks more like a deliberate entry than random thin-market noise.
$1,669 on Patrick Kypson | Wallet win rate: 67%
New wallet backing underdog
A brand-new wallet is making a sizable repeat bet into a fast-moving tennis market, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching despite no proven track record yet.
- This wallet is less than 2 hours old and has already made repeated large bets totaling about $5.5k
- They bought Patrick Kypson at 49¢ as the market moved quickly, showing real conviction rather than a tiny test trade
- The bet is meaningful but not huge for this market, which has nearly $485k of 24-hour volume and tight liquidity
$3,268 on Patrick Kypson
Sharp cluster reloading Tsitsipas
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate re-entered Stefanos Tsitsipas as part of a 6-wallet one-sided cluster during a sharp volume surge, which is notable despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 2,519 of 3,471 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- 6 wallets all bought Stefanos Tsitsipas, totaling $9.9k, during a 16x volume spike
- This wallet had already closed an earlier Tsitsipas position and re-entered at 52¢, showing fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking
$2,848 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 73%
Hot new wallet joins Tsitsipas wave
A profitable 16-day-old wallet with a perfect early record joined a 6-wallet one-sided wave into Tsitsipas during a sharp volume and price move, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the modest ticket size.
- This 16-day-old wallet is 6 for 6 on resolved bets and up $3.5k so far.
- Six wallets bought Tsitsipas in the same push, totaling $9.9k as market activity jumped 16x.
- This buy came at 57¢, which suggests they saw value before the price snapped back toward 50¢.
$1,382 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet Tsitsipas pile-in
A very new wallet joined a 6-wallet one-sided push into Tsitsipas during a sharp volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite this wallet's weak own track record.
- Six wallets all bought Tsitsipas in the same window for about $9.9k total.
- This wallet is just 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling about $10.2k.
- Market activity surged 16x versus normal and Tsitsipas moved fast during the buying.
$1,479 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 0%
4-wallet Kypson pile-in
Four wallets piled into Patrick Kypson together during a sharp volume spike, and this wallet got 45¢ before the market moved to 54%, signaling coordinated momentum worth watching despite the weak individual track record.
- Four wallets bought Patrick Kypson in the same window for $11.3k total, a strong one-sided push.
- This trade got in at 45¢ and the market is already at 54¢, so the move worked immediately.
- Trading surged to 19.4x normal volume with a 10-point price move in minutes, showing fast momentum.
$3,934 on Patrick Kypson | Wallet win rate: 31%
73% sharp takes underdog
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought the underdog in a busy tennis market during a sharp volume surge, making this a credible sharp contrarian entry worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $332k across 655 settled bets.
- They bought Patrick Kypson at 41¢ while this market saw a 26x volume spike and a fast 10-point move.
- Entry at 41¢ is a clear underdog bet against a liquid market, suggesting real conviction rather than random whale activity.
$1,787 on Patrick Kypson | Wallet win rate: 73%
18-wallet tennis cluster
Large linked-wallet cluster and coordinated one-sided buying hit this tennis market during a major volume spike, led by a highly active profitable bettor with a long track record.
- 18 wallets tied to the same funder have been active here, and 3 wallets bought the same side for $14.7k total
- This bettor has 5,747 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $118k lifetime
- Market volume ran 46x above normal as Tsitsipas was bought aggressively, though this wallet paid 68¢ and the market is now 60¢
$1,491 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 61%
3-wallet Tsitsipas cluster
Coordinated buying hit Stefanos Tsitsipas alongside a broader volume surge, and this wallet is a very active cross-market trader even if its standalone edge is modest.
- 3 wallets bought Stefanos Tsitsipas in the same window for $14.7k total, pointing to a shared directional view
- Market activity exploded to 46x its normal pace, with $339k traded in 24 hours
- This wallet is active across 99 events with a 67% win rate, but the edge looks more like followable flow than a proven sharp bettor
$2,394 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 67%
New profitable cluster bettor
A fast-acting new wallet with early profits joined a 5-wallet, $19.4k coordinated bet against the favorite as volume surged, making this underdog buy worth watching despite limited history.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already placed 9 resolved bets and is up $1.1k.
- Five wallets put $19.4k on Patrick Kypson in the same window.
- The trade sold Tsitsipas at 39¢, which translates to buying Kypson at 61¢.
$2,212 on Patrick Kypson | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Patrick Kypson, $61,366 (73% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $33,536
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $22,341 (100% win rate)
- 0x3257...2f3b — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $17,547 (54% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $17,478 (91% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $17,173 (55% win rate)
- 0x0b71...4e79 — Patrick Kypson, $14,263 (45% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Patrick Kypson, $12,219 (94% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $10,072 (75% win rate)
- 0xd752...ce7f — Patrick Kypson, $10,021 (28% win rate)
