Part of: Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Valorant BO3 match between Team Vitality and Natus Vincere in VCT EMEA Group Alpha, scheduled for July 17 at 2:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay rules applying if no winner is determined within 7 days. PolySpotter is tracking $4,186 in smart money and 1 signal, including recent sharp esports flow and favorite-backing activity.
This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,475.
Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% winner adding conviction
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor is adding to an existing Team Vitality position despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $535k lifetime.
- They already have $27.7k on Team Vitality and added more at 62¢.
- The market has moved down to about 52¢, making the same side cheaper than their latest entry.
$4,186 on Team Vitality | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial event bettor
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor bought Team Vitality into a pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 10,250 resolved bets, 64% wins, and $4.37M in lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 992 events and over 1,500 markets, suggesting this is a specialized, high-volume bettor.
- The market saw a 34x volume spike before the match, adding some support to the idea that sharp money is active.
$3,567 on Team Vitality | Wallet win rate: 64%
Coordinated sharp esports flow
Coordinated buying on Natus Vincere from 3 wallets coincided with a 34x volume spike and a 17-point price move, including one highly profitable high-volume sports/esports trader.
- Three wallets bought $8.5K of Natus Vincere in the same window as the price jumped from 37¢ to about 52¢.
- One buyer is a major profitable trader with a 66% record and $3.6M in lifetime profit.
- Volume spiked 34x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction around Natus Vincere.
$8,507 on Natus Vincere
91% winner adding conviction
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor is adding to an existing Team Vitality position despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $535k lifetime.
- They already have $27.7k on Team Vitality and added more at 62¢.
- The market has moved down to about 52¢, making the same side cheaper than their latest entry.
$2,915 on Team Vitality | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% winner backs favorite
Proven sharp wallet with a 91% win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Team Vitality at 65¢ in a relatively small esports market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $72K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at an average 35¢ entry, suggesting they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
- A $1.3K buy is meaningful in a market with only about $5.5K traded in the last day.
$1,300 on Team Vitality | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xaa3c...5607 — Team Vitality, $52,705 (84% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Natus Vincere, $51,541 (62% win rate)
- 0x8660...93ed — Team Vitality, $38,825 (91% win rate)
- 0x6d20...a165 — Natus Vincere, $37,714 (44% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Natus Vincere, $34,465 (96% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Team Vitality, $33,679 (61% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Team Vitality, $24,394 (92% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Team Vitality, $18,399 (76% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Natus Vincere, $14,807 (56% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Team Vitality, $13,961 (64% win rate)
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