Part of: Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,000.

Categories: Measles, Pandemics, Science, Weather

Notable Trades

99% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 99% win rate just put an $8k buy into a very thin market, making up more than the full 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 534 of 537 resolved trades and has been active across 209 events.
  • The $8,000 buy was larger than the market's full 24-hour volume and hit a market with just $1,888 of liquidity.
  • They paid 87¢ for Yes, showing strong conviction even in a thin market with a very wide spread.

$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0285...59d6 Outcome 80290691, $2,297
  2. 0x4541...30d3 Outcome 79557788, $1,014
  3. 0x4b8c...26fd Outcome 79557788, $846
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  6. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 79557788, $199
  7. 0x22b8...8b13 Outcome 79557788, $40
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Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

ResolvedMeasles cases in U.S. by April 30?$8,000 tracked1 signalMeaslesPandemicsScienceWeather

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Notable Trades

Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

42d ago

$8,000 on Yes at 87¢

Related Theses