Part of: Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
This prediction market tracks whether Lorenzo Musetti or Frances Tiafoe advances in their Cincinnati Open tennis match, scheduled for August 21, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 28, 2026; the market currently has $1,002 in tracked smart-money activity across one signal.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,648.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins four-wallet Tiafoe push
A proven bettor added to a Tiafoe position amid a 72.6x volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.
- This bettor has won 82% of 501 resolved trades and is up $40,392 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Frances Tiafoe for $7,464 as market volume surged 72.6x above normal.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Tiafoe position, buying at 50¢ while the market is now 56¢.
$1,003 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor backs Tiafoe amid volume spike
Three wallets concentrated $8.6K into Frances Tiafoe during a 77x volume spike, including a serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate, though opposing linked flow adds uncertainty.
- A bettor with an 83% win rate across 112 resolved trades added to Frances Tiafoe at 56¢.
- Three wallets committed $8,619 to Tiafoe while market activity surged to 77 times its historical average.
- The signal is meaningful but mixed, with five linked wallets reportedly buying Lorenzo Musetti on the other side.
$8,619 on Frances Tiafoe
Sharp bettor scales into Musetti
A proven 82% winning serial trader is adding to an existing Musetti position amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of trades and is up $122,931 lifetime across 57 resolved bets.
- They are adding to a $5,000 Musetti position, buying another $1,290 at 43¢ despite the market recently falling 7%.
- Three wallets bought Musetti together while volume ran 57.6 times its historical average.
$1,290 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 77%
Linked wallets back Musetti
A linked seven-wallet flow is positioning for Musetti, reinforced by a proven 82% bettor and a major volume spike, though some activity appears to be position management.
- Seven linked wallets moved roughly $22,700 toward Musetti, including large Tiafoe sells equivalent to buying Musetti at 42–49¢.
- One Musetti buyer wins 82% of 57 resolved bets and is up $122,931, providing meaningful evidence of sharp positioning.
- The market saw a 72.6x volume spike, although opposing Tiafoe buying and existing positions make the signal less clean.
$22,696 on Lorenzo Musetti
Serial trader amid extreme volume spike
A serial cross-market trader with a large historical sample entered Musetti at 50¢ during an extreme 642x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's record shows only modest edge.
- This bettor has traded 84 markets across 79 events, with 13,223 resolved bets and $469,000 in lifetime profit.
- Musetti was bought at 50¢ as activity surged to 642 times the historical average, suggesting unusual pre-match interest.
- The 64% win rate is credible but only modestly above the bettor's average 61¢ winning price.
$1,691 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 64%
Proven sharp backs Tiafoe
A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor with an 86% win rate and strong edge made a fresh $4,900 bet on Tiafoe at 49%.
- This bettor wins 86% of 340 resolved positions and is up $1.57M lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $4,900 bet on Frances Tiafoe at 49%, near even odds despite the market pricing Tiafoe at 48%.
- The wallet has traded across 313 events and 373 markets, providing an unusually large sample for its track record.
$4,900 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 86%
99% win-rate tennis specialist
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and $17.5M profit made a fresh $2,450 bet on Frances Tiafoe at 49%.
- This bettor has won 1,989 of 2,009 resolved positions and is up $17.5M lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $2,450 bet on Frances Tiafoe at 49%, despite the market being nearly even.
- The trade is unusually large relative to the alert window’s activity, adding conviction to the position.
$2,450 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 13874898, $77,737 (65% win rate)
- 0x5901...63a2 — Outcome 13874898, $43,747 (90% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 13874898, $36,782 (57% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 13874898, $32,628 (98% win rate)
- 0x64e9...eb4c — Outcome 13874898, $30,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x21fd...f263 — Outcome 13874898, $26,621 (100% win rate)
- 0x8384...3953 — Outcome 13874898, $24,760
- 0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 13874898, $20,772 (90% win rate)
- 0x3c51...ee64 — Outcome 13874898, $18,869 (58% win rate)
- 0x464f...01b7 — Outcome 13874898, $18,784
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