Part of: Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
This Polymarket spread market asks whether Argentina will beat Cabo Verde by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on July 3 at 6:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $5,422 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts from high-win-rate sports bettors and repeat whales backing the favorite. The market resolves using the official final score published by FIFA after the match is completed.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,437.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
94% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought Argentina -1.5 at 63¢, supported by a modest pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $5.3k lifetime.
- They bought Argentina -1.5 at 63¢, implying confidence despite a liquid market.
- Market volume is running 13.7x above its historical average, adding modest support to the move.
$1,008 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 64% record and nearly $3M lifetime profit put $40k on Cabo Verde in a market showing a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,650 resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They put $40.4K on Cabo Verde, a large position relative to the market’s earlier activity.
- Most fresh fills were around 37–38¢, implying roughly a 2.6x payout if Cabo Verde covers.
$40,429 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x076d...8d4c — Cabo Verde, $120,547 (64% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Argentina, $52,743 (53% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — Argentina, $20,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xf742...e039 — Argentina, $11,149 (38% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Argentina, $7,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x5652...00c9 — Argentina, $6,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xc31d...4ebe — Cabo Verde, $4,108 (52% win rate)
- 0x7516...8beb — Argentina, $3,999 (53% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Argentina, $3,178 (46% win rate)
- 0x09e3...48ac — Argentina, $2,000 (70% win rate)
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