Part of: Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether Argentina will beat Cabo Verde by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on July 3 at 6:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $5,422 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts from high-win-rate sports bettors and repeat whales backing the favorite. The market resolves using the official final score published by FIFA after the match is completed.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,437.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought Argentina -1.5 at 63¢, supported by a modest pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $5.3k lifetime.
  • They bought Argentina -1.5 at 63¢, implying confidence despite a liquid market.
  • Market volume is running 13.7x above its historical average, adding modest support to the move.

$1,008 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 64% record and nearly $3M lifetime profit put $40k on Cabo Verde in a market showing a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 4,650 resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They put $40.4K on Cabo Verde, a large position relative to the market’s earlier activity.
  • Most fresh fills were around 37–38¢, implying roughly a 2.6x payout if Cabo Verde covers.

$40,429 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x076d...8d4c Cabo Verde, $120,547 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Argentina, $52,743 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x8fba...d08a Argentina, $20,000 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xf742...e039 Argentina, $11,149 (38% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Argentina, $7,000 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x5652...00c9 Argentina, $6,000 (74% win rate)
  7. 0xc31d...4ebe Cabo Verde, $4,108 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x7516...8beb Argentina, $3,999 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x84cf...2f63 Argentina, $3,178 (46% win rate)
  10. 0x09e3...48ac Argentina, $2,000 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets

Covers 6 related markets

Türkiye beats United States

Covers 3 related markets

Early goals, Jordan keeps it close

Covers 5 related markets

Ecuador will not beat Germany

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico and Korea draw

Covers 3 related markets

Canada wins in shutout rout

Covers 6 related markets

Japan Sweden ends in draw

Covers 3 related markets

Portugal wins 3-1 after slow start

Covers 5 related markets

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

1dArgentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$41,437 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Argentina
61¢
Cabo Verde
40¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Argentina
66¢
63¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,008 on Argentina at 63¢

63¢61¢2¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

3d ago

$40,429 on Cabo Verde at 42¢

42¢40¢2¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U…Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Türkiye beats United States
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Early goals, Jordan keeps it close
Wallet_0x076da trades 5 related markets
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half…
Ecuador will not beat Germany
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25…Will Germany win on 2026-06-25…Will Ecuador vs. Germany end i…
Mexico and Korea draw
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Will Korea Republic win on 202…Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic…
Canada wins in shutout rout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.…
Japan Sweden ends in draw
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a…
Portugal wins 3-1 after slow start
Wallet_0x076da trades 5 related markets
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3…