Part of: HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,868.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports bettor buying dip
Surfaced because a high-volume serial sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate made a $17k Donna Vekic buy amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the trade has moved against them and lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 333 markets, though lifetime profit is slightly negative.
- They put $17k on Donna Vekic as market volume spiked 31.8x above normal.
- The entry was 88¢, but Vekic has since fallen to 74¢, making this a cheaper but riskier follow.
$17,016 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable sports whale on momentum
A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought Donna Vekic into a sharp pre-match volume spike and price move, making the trade worth surfacing despite only moderate signal strength.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across 77k resolved trades.
- Their $7.8k Vekic buy came during a 12x volume spike and an 18-point move toward Vekic.
- Entry at 83¢ implies about 20% gross upside if Vekic advances.
$7,839 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 53%
11-wallet funded tennis cluster
Surface this as an 11-wallet funded cluster backing Donna Vekic, led by a high-volume wallet with $1.3M lifetime profit and an entry that moved favorably.
- 11 wallets funded by the same source are backing this side, totaling $11.8k.
- The lead wallet is up $1.3M lifetime across very high trading volume.
- Bought Donna at 65¢ before the market moved near 78¢, so the best copy is on a pullback.
$3,918 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 53%
96% winner re-enters
Elite wallet with a 96% historical win rate and $515k profit is re-entering Bouzkova, making the bettor’s track record the key signal despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $515k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 183 events with a 96% win rate.
- They previously held Bouzkova at 44¢ and are now buying again at 53¢.
$3,089 on Marie Bouzkova | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with an 86% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history sold Donna Vekic, equivalent to buying Marie Bouzkova at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $150K lifetime.
- They have traded across 107 events with the same 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Selling Donna at 47¢ is effectively buying Bouzkova at 53¢ in a tight, liquid market.
$1,308 on Marie Bouzkova | Wallet win rate: 86%
92% winner backs Vekic
Elite 92% lifetime winner with $1.8M profit is effectively buying Donna Vekic at 49¢ by selling Marie Bouzkova.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.81M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 489 events and $1.84M tracked volume.
- Selling Marie at 51¢ is equivalent to buying Donna Vekic at 49¢.
$1,016 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 92%
95% winner backing Vekic
Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak new-wallet signal, this bettor has a 95% resolved win rate and nearly $496k lifetime profit, effectively backing Donna Vekic for $8.6k.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $496k lifetime.
- They placed an $8.6k bet effectively backing Donna Vekic at 51¢.
- The wallet has been flagged 7 times before, suggesting this is a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off large trade.
$8,630 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 96%
95% win-rate tennis sharp
Surface: this is a proven sharp sports wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and nearly $496k profit buying Bouzkova at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $496k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 175 events with a 95% hit rate.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Bouzkova as underpriced in a liquid tennis market.
$2,687 on Marie Bouzkova | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large 274-bet history is buying Bouzkova near even money.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved bets over a 274-trade history and is up $33.8k lifetime.
- They have traded across 34 events in this pattern, with $96k tracked and positive results.
- Entry at 51¢ is near even money, suggesting they see Bouzkova as mispriced after recent odds movement.
$1,354 on Marie Bouzkova | Wallet win rate: 63%
85% winner flips side
Despite the low composite score, this is worth surfacing because a profitable 85% lifetime winner sold Donna, effectively flipping exposure toward Bouzkova.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $14.5k lifetime.
- They sold Donna after previously holding an $8.7k position, effectively backing Bouzkova at 54¢.
- The trade came during a fast 11-point move against Donna in under 3 minutes.
$3,996 on Marie Bouzkova | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 82764467, $12,317 (94% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Outcome 82764467, $5,797 (96% win rate)
- 0xef46...b0ea — Outcome 82764467, $3,900 (47% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 82764467, $3,000
- 0x66b1...340f — Outcome 82764467, $2,547 (73% win rate)
- 0x8d06...6d6d — Outcome 82764467, $2,321
- 0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 82764467, $2,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 82764467, $1,860 (92% win rate)
- 0xdc0c...218a — Outcome 82764467, $1,500 (85% win rate)
- 0x13c6...7383 — Outcome 82764467, $1,080
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