Magic vs. Pelicans

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $249,729.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fades steam

A proven sharp sports bettor sold Magic at 81¢, which is equivalent to buying Pelicans at 19¢, aligning with a 5-wallet $122k one-sided cluster against a heavily steamed favorite.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $23.6k, so their move is worth tracking
  • Their sale of Magic at 81¢ is the same as buying Pelicans at 19¢ while 5 wallets put $122k on the same side
  • The market has seen a huge volume surge and Magic already jumped 28 points in a day, suggesting they are fading an overreaction

$4,821 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 33%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

A high-win-rate sports bettor sold Magic at 73¢, which is equivalent to buying Pelicans at 27¢, alongside coordinated Pelicans flow and a major volume spike in this NBA market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $23.6k on nearly $95k invested
  • The trade lines up with 3 wallets collectively buying Pelicans for $95k in one-sided flow
  • Selling Magic at 73¢ is the same as buying Pelicans at 27¢, while Magic has already surged 32 points

$1,817 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 33%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

A proven sharp sports bettor sold Magic heavily, which converts to a strong Pelicans buy signal, and the trade lines up with a 5-wallet one-sided cluster despite happening in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up $23.6k across 58 resolved markets.
  • Their $42.8k sale of Magic at 65¢ converts to a Pelicans buy signal around 35¢, suggesting they saw the underdog as mispriced.
  • Five wallets put $94.2k on the same side, while the market had a large pregame volume spike.

$42,782 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 33%

Repeat new wallet fade

A very new wallet has already made repeated large bets and just sold Pelicans, which converts to a sizeable buy on Magic at 42¢ after a sharp move in a liquid NBA market.

  • This wallet is less than 5 days old and has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling about $17.6k
  • This trade effectively buys Magic at 42¢ by selling Pelicans at 58¢, a meaningful contrarian stance after a 21-point one-day move
  • The bettor is sizing into a high-volume NBA market, so this looks more deliberate than a random punt

$2,675 on Magic

Sharp cluster fading Magic

Three wallets piled into the Pelicans side by selling Magic around 69-81¢, led by one bettor with an 86% win rate and backed by coordinated flow plus a major volume spike.

  • One lead wallet wins 86% of its bets and put about $23k behind this call.
  • Three wallets all hit the same side within minutes for $27k total as market volume ran 37.8x above normal.
  • They effectively bought Pelicans around 19-31¢, a price that suggests they saw Magic as badly overvalued.

$27,056 on Pelicans

Sharp bettor bought the dip

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate bought Magic at 36¢ alongside 3 other wallets during a major volume spike, and the price has already moved up to 44¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $23.3k on nearly $94k invested
  • Four wallets all bought Magic together for about $40k during a 130x volume spike
  • The entry was 36¢ and the market is already at 44¢, showing the trade moved early and got follow-through

$33,123 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 33%

Sharp bettor in 8-wallet cluster

A highly profitable 74% win-rate sports trader joined an 8-wallet one-sided Pelicans buy cluster before a sharp move from 57¢ to 72¢, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 2,234 resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime.
  • Eight wallets piled into Pelicans for $224,915 total, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
  • This wallet bought at 57¢ and the market is now 72¢ after a fast pregame move.

$1,221 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp bettor in 8-wallet cluster

A highly profitable 81% win-rate sports bettor joined an 8-wallet linked cluster buying Pelicans before a sharp move from 53¢ to 72¢, making this a strong follow-worthy signal despite the market’s deep liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime across more than 1,100 bets.
  • Eight wallets, including linked funders, all bought Pelicans for about $225k total in the same move.
  • The bet went in at 53¢ and the market is now 72¢, showing the group caught a fast reprice early.

$10,499 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 80%

Linked sharp cluster buying Pelicans

Surface this because a highly profitable high-volume sports bettor joined an 8-wallet linked cluster buying Pelicans ahead of a major one-sided flow and price jump.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 2,661 resolved trades and is up $9.25M lifetime.
  • 8 wallets piled into Pelicans for $224.9k total, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • They bought at 64¢ before the price moved to 72¢, showing strong one-way conviction.

$2,008 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 67%

93% win-rate bettor buys Magic

A proven elite sports trader with a 93% win rate and $1.5M profit bought into a coordinated Magic position during a major pre-game volume surge, making this a strong follow-worthy signal despite adverse immediate price movement.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $1.5M across 172 resolved positions.
  • Three wallets bought Magic together for $13.3k as volume ran 80x above normal before the game.
  • Entry at 48¢ means the bettor saw clear value well above a coin-flip price, even in a very active market.

$4,922 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x433f...a0dc Outcome 15533082, $37,978 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 15533082, $26,184 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 15533082, $23,463 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xb7a6...89b2 Outcome 15533082, $10,000
  5. 0x8b9a...5f69 Outcome 15533082, $8,558
  6. 0xaf78...7736 Outcome 15533082, $7,846 (85% win rate)
  7. 0xbce9...03e9 Outcome 15533082, $4,700
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 15533082, $3,642
  9. 0xbedd...7605 Outcome 15533082, $2,473
  10. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 15533082, $2,309 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Magic vs. Pelicans

Resolved$249,729 tracked21 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

ORL
42-36
Smoothie King Center
NOP
25-54
Draft Kings
Spread: ORL -6.5O/U: 236.5ML: -250/+205
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$4,821 on Pelicans at 19¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,817 on Pelicans at 27¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$42,782 on Pelicans at 35¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$2,675 on Magic at 42¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$27,056 on Pelicans at 25¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$33,123 on Magic at 36¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,221 on Pelicans at 57¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$10,499 on Pelicans at 53¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$2,008 on Pelicans at 64¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$4,922 on Magic at 48¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,418 on Magic at 48¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$6,701 on Pelicans at 62¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,110 on Pelicans at 50¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$2,283 on Pelicans at 50¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,447 on Magic at 75¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,386 on Pelicans at 26¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,289 on Pelicans at 29¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$12,053 on Magic at 71¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$20,361 on Magic at 67¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$1,979 on Magic at 65¢

Magic vs. Pelicans

14d ago

$68,780 on Magic at 66¢

Related Theses