Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,273.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Perfect-record NBA bettor

Surfaced despite a weak price-impact signal because the buyer has a perfect 14-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor is 14-for-14 on resolved bets and is up $3,246 lifetime.
They bought Pistons at 54¢ on a heavily traded NBA spread market.
The market is now around 49¢, cheaper than the bettor’s entry.

$2,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Cavaliers despite recent drift lower, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long track record: 176 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $465k in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader with over $2.0M deployed across 159 events.
Market volume spiked 268x before the game, suggesting unusual pre-event attention.

$8,109 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 59%

12-0 live sports bettor

Sharp 12-0 wallet with nearly $98k profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 less than a minute before the listed cutoff amid a large volume spike.

This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved bets and is up $97,956 lifetime.
They bought $8,745 of Cavaliers -3.5 at 53¢ less than a minute before the listed cutoff.
Market activity spiked 189x above normal, suggesting late money is moving the same way.

$8,745 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable live-sports cluster

Three profitable sports wallets, including a 12-0 bettor and two high-volume winners, bought Cavaliers -3.5 right around game resolution amid a major volume spike.

Three profitable wallets put $19.5k on Cavaliers -3.5 at 53¢ right at the end of the game.
One wallet is 12-for-12 with about $98k profit, and the other two are up a combined $1.2M lifetime.
Market volume spiked 144x above normal, with all flagged flow on the Cavaliers side.

$19,544 on Cavaliers

Profitable last-minute sports bettor

Profitable serial near-resolution sports bettor bought Pistons +3.5 minutes before close, supported by a large volume spike and strong cross-market history.

This bettor is up $70,408 lifetime with a 62% record across 178 resolved bets.
They placed this $2,500 bet just 3 minutes before resolution, matching a repeated last-minute betting pattern across 18 markets.
Market volume spiked 58x above normal, adding momentum behind the Pistons +3.5 position.

$2,500 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with a 69% win rate and nearly $926k lifetime profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 despite only a moderate signal score.

This bettor has won 69% of 769 resolved bets and is up about $926k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 427 events with over $4M in tracked activity.
A $5.96k buy at 53¢ suggests they see the Cavaliers spread as slightly underpriced.

$5,964 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large resolved sample and strong lifetime profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 52¢.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,768 resolved bets, 61% wins, and about $513K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 115 events, with over $1.2M flagged in similar event-level activity.
Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Cavaliers -3.5 as mispriced despite a highly liquid market.

$1,871 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 468-bet record and $262,974 profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 52¢.

This bettor has won 68% of 468 resolved bets and is up $262,974 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with over $316,000 in flagged activity.
Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Cavaliers -3.5 as mispriced despite a liquid market.

$1,492 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume bettor with a long track record is making a $9k Cavaliers -3.5 buy, flagged as a serial cross-market trader.

This bettor has won 64% of 1,044 resolved bets and is up $137,680 lifetime.
They have a recurring cross-market pattern across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
They put $9,048 on Cavaliers -3.5 at 52¢ in a tight market.

$9,048 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

0x1117...3532 — Outcome 47985386, $21,216 (62% win rate)
0x1467...4372 — Outcome 47985386, $18,569 (49% win rate)
0x3a51...b2b6 — Outcome 47985386, $17,400 (64% win rate)
0x1a35...2fad — Outcome 47985386, $16,500 (100% win rate)
0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 47985386, $11,252 (70% win rate)
0x7110...b042 — Outcome 47985386, $6,266 (100% win rate)
0x6323...9fee — Outcome 47985386, $5,854 (97% win rate)
0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 47985386, $5,075 (64% win rate)
0xd106...c79c — Outcome 47985386, $4,360 (53% win rate)
0xb57f...0c96 — Outcome 47985386, $3,328

Related Theses

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Team WE beats NIP

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Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

ResolvedPistons vs. Cavaliers$59,273 tracked9 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE

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52-30

Little Caesars Arena

DET

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60-22

Draft Kings

Spread: DET -4.5O/U: 206.5ML: +150/-180

Win Prob

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Last Play