LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-3 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming, originally scheduled for April 17 at 7:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay of more than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $14,274 in smart money activity on this market, including recent signals pointing to notable action on JD Gaming.

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,176.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

7-wallet JD Gaming pile-in

Seven wallets piled into JD Gaming during a sharp pre-match volume spike and nearly 20-point move, creating a notable coordinated flow signal despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Seven wallets bought JD Gaming for $14.3k in a coordinated burst as market activity jumped 16.6x above normal.
  • The market moved nearly 20 points on JD Gaming in the same window, showing this flow was strong enough to shift price.
  • Wallet quality is mixed, but one bettor is up $57.8k historically and another has started 7-1, so the cluster is not just random retail flow.

$14,274 on JD Gaming

Profitable new wallet cluster

A very new wallet that is already profitable is making another large buy alongside two other wallets during a sharp pre-match volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction on Ninjas in Pyjamas.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already put on $24.6k in flagged bets and is up $5.3k early.
  • Three wallets all bought Ninjas in Pyjamas, totaling $11.6k in the same direction.
  • The market saw a 25.9x volume spike and the price is up 24.5% in a day, showing strong momentum behind this side.

$4,637 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor joins 3-wallet push

A proven cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Ninjas in Pyjamas during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports buy worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved markets and is up $33.3k across 99 settled bets
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $11.6k total as volume ran 25.9x above normal
  • They entered at 52¢ in a market that has jumped 24.5 points in a day, showing strong pre-match momentum

$3,640 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 72%

Coordinated esports sharp flow

Coordinated buying on Ninjas in Pyjamas is notable because 4 wallets aligned on the same side during a major volume spike, including a proven 72% win-rate cross-market bettor and a new wallet already up $5.3k.

  • 4 wallets piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas for $12.6k as market activity jumped 53x above normal
  • One bettor wins 72% of resolved markets and has made $33.3k, while a 1-day-old wallet is already up $5.3k
  • The trade hit at 52¢ after a 26-point 1-day move, showing traders still pressed this side despite the market already lifting

$12,617 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 10-day-old wallet with repeated six-figure flagged activity made another $12.5k buy into JD Gaming during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting continued conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This 10-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling about $207k
  • They just put $12.5k on JD Gaming at 75¢ during a 38x surge in market volume
  • This is a fresh add from a very active new account in a sports market where sharp bettors can have an edge

$12,545 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

$974k winner buys underdog

Profitable high-volume sports trader with nearly $1.0M P&L bought the underdog during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible conviction play worth watching.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 242 resolved trades and is up about $974k lifetime
  • They put $8.3k on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢ during a 104x jump in market activity
  • Buying at 25¢ means they only need roughly a 1-in-4 chance to be right for this to pay off

$8,303 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable esports regular

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $74k realized profit is backing JD Gaming with a meaningful $9.3k position, making this a credible copy-trade despite the alert coming from a single cross-market tracking signal.

  • This bettor has won 203 of 277 resolved trades and is up $74k overall
  • They put $9.3k on JD Gaming at 76¢, a sizable single bet with real conviction
  • This wallet has traded 29 related markets across 28 events, suggesting repeatable sports betting skill

$9,261 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

77% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and nearly $189k profit is taking a fresh underdog position at 25¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 361 resolved trades and is up about $189k overall
  • They trade heavily across 343 markets and 310 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought the underdog at 25¢, suggesting they see Ninjas in Pyjamas as meaningfully undervalued

$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp underdog bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a strong underdog track record bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢, suggesting they see meaningful value despite the market pricing only a 24-25% chance.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $195k across 69 resolved markets
  • They usually win on low-priced bets, with an average winning entry around 30¢, so a 25¢ underdog buy fits their edge
  • They bought at 25¢ while the market still prices this outcome near 24-25%, suggesting a clear value bet rather than chasing momentum

$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 77%

88% win-rate sharp

A proven high-volume bettor with an 88% win rate and $578k profit is backing JD Gaming at 76¢, making this a credible sharp-follow signal despite only one strategy firing.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $578k across 372 bets.
  • They have traded 480 markets across 232 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off play.
  • They bought JD Gaming at 76¢, implying a solid favorite they still viewed as underpriced.

$2,978 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1d2e...896d JD Gaming, $60,928 (40% win rate)
  2. 0xe015...6ffd Ninjas in Pyjamas, $56,929 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x644d...6cf8 JD Gaming, $48,913 (47% win rate)
  4. 0xfc25...1f7f Ninjas in Pyjamas, $33,223 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x93cc...6ffc Ninjas in Pyjamas, $28,005
  6. 0x1341...0853 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $25,000 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x2307...3934 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $24,620 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xef24...f43e JD Gaming, $24,190 (71% win rate)
  9. 0xa2e4...bf9d JD Gaming, $20,725 (64% win rate)
  10. 0x68ac...3d7e JD Gaming, $16,727 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1h$83,176 tracked12 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Ninjas in Pyjamas
100¢
JD Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Ninjas in Pyjamas
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$14,274 on JD Gaming at 48¢

48¢0¢48¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$4,637 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$3,640 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$12,617 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

5h ago

$12,545 on JD Gaming at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

5h ago

$8,303 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢

25¢100¢75¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

5h ago

$9,261 on JD Gaming at 76¢

76¢0¢76¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

6h ago

$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢

25¢100¢75¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

10h ago

$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢

25¢100¢75¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

11h ago

$2,978 on JD Gaming at 76¢

76¢0¢76¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

16h ago

$6,500 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢

25¢100¢75¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

17h ago

$6,465 on JD Gaming at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Related Theses