LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-3 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming, originally scheduled for April 17 at 7:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay of more than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $14,274 in smart money activity on this market, including recent signals pointing to notable action on JD Gaming.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,176.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
7-wallet JD Gaming pile-in
Seven wallets piled into JD Gaming during a sharp pre-match volume spike and nearly 20-point move, creating a notable coordinated flow signal despite mixed wallet quality.
- Seven wallets bought JD Gaming for $14.3k in a coordinated burst as market activity jumped 16.6x above normal.
- The market moved nearly 20 points on JD Gaming in the same window, showing this flow was strong enough to shift price.
- Wallet quality is mixed, but one bettor is up $57.8k historically and another has started 7-1, so the cluster is not just random retail flow.
$14,274 on JD Gaming
Profitable new wallet cluster
A very new wallet that is already profitable is making another large buy alongside two other wallets during a sharp pre-match volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction on Ninjas in Pyjamas.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already put on $24.6k in flagged bets and is up $5.3k early.
- Three wallets all bought Ninjas in Pyjamas, totaling $11.6k in the same direction.
- The market saw a 25.9x volume spike and the price is up 24.5% in a day, showing strong momentum behind this side.
$4,637 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor joins 3-wallet push
A proven cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Ninjas in Pyjamas during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports buy worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved markets and is up $33.3k across 99 settled bets
- Three wallets bought the same side for $11.6k total as volume ran 25.9x above normal
- They entered at 52¢ in a market that has jumped 24.5 points in a day, showing strong pre-match momentum
$3,640 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 72%
Coordinated esports sharp flow
Coordinated buying on Ninjas in Pyjamas is notable because 4 wallets aligned on the same side during a major volume spike, including a proven 72% win-rate cross-market bettor and a new wallet already up $5.3k.
- 4 wallets piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas for $12.6k as market activity jumped 53x above normal
- One bettor wins 72% of resolved markets and has made $33.3k, while a 1-day-old wallet is already up $5.3k
- The trade hit at 52¢ after a 26-point 1-day move, showing traders still pressed this side despite the market already lifting
$12,617 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 10-day-old wallet with repeated six-figure flagged activity made another $12.5k buy into JD Gaming during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting continued conviction rather than routine flow.
- This 10-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling about $207k
- They just put $12.5k on JD Gaming at 75¢ during a 38x surge in market volume
- This is a fresh add from a very active new account in a sports market where sharp bettors can have an edge
$12,545 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
$974k winner buys underdog
Profitable high-volume sports trader with nearly $1.0M P&L bought the underdog during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible conviction play worth watching.
- This bettor has won 63% of 242 resolved trades and is up about $974k lifetime
- They put $8.3k on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢ during a 104x jump in market activity
- Buying at 25¢ means they only need roughly a 1-in-4 chance to be right for this to pay off
$8,303 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable esports regular
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $74k realized profit is backing JD Gaming with a meaningful $9.3k position, making this a credible copy-trade despite the alert coming from a single cross-market tracking signal.
- This bettor has won 203 of 277 resolved trades and is up $74k overall
- They put $9.3k on JD Gaming at 76¢, a sizable single bet with real conviction
- This wallet has traded 29 related markets across 28 events, suggesting repeatable sports betting skill
$9,261 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
77% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and nearly $189k profit is taking a fresh underdog position at 25¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 77% of 361 resolved trades and is up about $189k overall
- They trade heavily across 343 markets and 310 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought the underdog at 25¢, suggesting they see Ninjas in Pyjamas as meaningfully undervalued
$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp underdog bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a strong underdog track record bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢, suggesting they see meaningful value despite the market pricing only a 24-25% chance.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $195k across 69 resolved markets
- They usually win on low-priced bets, with an average winning entry around 30¢, so a 25¢ underdog buy fits their edge
- They bought at 25¢ while the market still prices this outcome near 24-25%, suggesting a clear value bet rather than chasing momentum
$978 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 77%
88% win-rate sharp
A proven high-volume bettor with an 88% win rate and $578k profit is backing JD Gaming at 76¢, making this a credible sharp-follow signal despite only one strategy firing.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $578k across 372 bets.
- They have traded 480 markets across 232 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off play.
- They bought JD Gaming at 76¢, implying a solid favorite they still viewed as underpriced.
$2,978 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 65167765, $60,928 (40% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 97648756, $56,929 (88% win rate)
- 0x644d...6cf8 — Outcome 65167765, $48,913 (47% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Outcome 97648756, $33,223 (93% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 97648756, $25,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — Outcome 97648756, $24,620 (51% win rate)
- 0xef24...f43e — Outcome 65167765, $24,190 (71% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 65167765, $20,725 (64% win rate)
- 0x68ac...3d7e — Outcome 65167765, $16,727 (100% win rate)
- 0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 65167765, $12,584
