Part of: Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result
Germany leading at halftime?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $257,309.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
4-wallet Yes push
Coordinated Yes buying and a major volume spike make this worth watching despite the lead wallet’s unimpressive long-term P&L.
- Four wallets bought the same side, putting about $49K behind Yes.
- Volume spiked 86x above the market’s historical average before the event.
- The lead wallet is very active but not clearly sharp, with a 53% record and negative lifetime P&L.
$32,932 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster on No
Strong one-sided No cluster led by two highly profitable serial sports bettors, with the market moving from roughly mid-60s to 96%.
- Two proven bettors are in this cluster: one wins 96% and is up $1.23M, while another wins 80% and is up $4.24M.
- Five wallets bought $32K of No before the price jumped from the 60s to 96%.
- This market saw a 13.5x volume spike, suggesting heavy positioning around the halftime result.
$32,043 on No
4-wallet Yes push
Coordinated Yes buying and a major volume spike make this worth watching despite the lead wallet’s unimpressive long-term P&L.
- Four wallets bought the same side, putting about $49K behind Yes.
- Volume spiked 86x above the market’s historical average before the event.
- The lead wallet is very active but not clearly sharp, with a 53% record and negative lifetime P&L.
$36,370 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
$2M sports bettor with Yes cluster
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor joined a coordinated Yes push amid an 86x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $2.06M lifetime across 1,247 resolved markets.
- Four wallets bought the same Yes side for about $49K total before kickoff.
- Market volume is spiking 86x above normal, suggesting heavy pre-game conviction.
$12,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable bettor with one-sided flow
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Yes alongside broader one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 332 resolved bets and is up $75k lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $49k in the same direction.
- Market volume is 86x above its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
$1,366 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
New whale backing halftime No
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor put about $49k on No amid a 206x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction against Germany leading at halftime.
- A 1-day-old wallet put $49k on No across three buys, adding to $51k of recent flagged activity.
- Market volume spiked 206x versus its historical average, suggesting this is not isolated flow.
- The bettor entered around 48¢, implying they see Germany not leading at halftime as better than a coin flip.
$36,025 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
New whale backing halftime No
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor put about $49k on No amid a 206x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction against Germany leading at halftime.
- A 1-day-old wallet put $49k on No across three buys, adding to $51k of recent flagged activity.
- Market volume spiked 206x versus its historical average, suggesting this is not isolated flow.
- The bettor entered around 48¢, implying they see Germany not leading at halftime as better than a coin flip.
$49,081 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Perfect 29-bet sharp
Sharp wallet override: this trader has a perfect 29/29 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Germany halftime Yes at 53¢.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved bets and is up $7,835 lifetime.
- They are buying Germany to lead at halftime at 53¢, implying they still see value despite the market already moving up 5% today.
- The market is liquid, so the edge comes mainly from the trader’s strong track record rather than order-book pressure.
$1,522 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable whale joins Yes cluster
Four wallets bought $52.8k of Yes into a major pre-event volume spike, including a historically profitable whale up over $2M lifetime.
- Four wallets bought $52.8k on Yes, creating a strong one-sided move.
- One major buyer has a 60% record over 1,247 resolved bets and is up $2.06M lifetime.
- Volume is 47.7x above normal and Yes has already moved up 5 points.
$52,841 on Yes
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a perfect 26-0 resolved record bought Germany to lead at halftime at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $3.4K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 52¢, implying Germany leading at halftime is priced too low.
- The market has moved up about 5 points today, matching the direction of this sharp bet.
$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xd4da...3175 — Outcome 89091640, $60,264 (52% win rate)
- 0x8a8f...56e5 — Outcome 89091640, $25,000
- 0x7aa1...e126 — Outcome 89091640, $20,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x37ae...1002 — Outcome 89091640, $15,924 (91% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 89091640, $13,371 (71% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 89091640, $10,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x8228...b2fb — Outcome 89091640, $9,688 (90% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 72432273, $7,163
- 0x15ec...267d — Outcome 89091640, $6,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xe4d4...2983 — Outcome 89091640, $4,808 (100% win rate)
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