Part of: Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 31?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,942.

Categories: Weather, Recurring, Daily Temperature, Shenzhen, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (2), Highest temperature

Notable Trades

96% winner buying late

Despite only a weak price-impact signal, the wallet has a very large positive resolved history and is buying Yes near same-day weather resolution after a major odds move.

This bettor has won 96% of 1,047 resolved bets and is up $6.7k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 84¢ on a market that has moved sharply toward Yes today.
Same-day weather markets can reward fast data checks, and this trade came hours before scheduled resolution.

$1,897 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

High-win weather bettor

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a very large resolved history, 96% winners, and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor has 1,047 resolved trades with 96% winners and is up $6.7k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 82¢ on a same-day weather market, suggesting confidence in a specific temperature print.
The market has moved sharply today, up 59 percentage points, but current pricing is below their entry.

$1,045 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 41117499, $6,939
0x4658...4131 — Outcome 41117499, $3,750 (85% win rate)
0xea0d...2b8e — Outcome 41117499, $1,554
0x9470...989d — Outcome 41117499, $1,262
0x2851...6b8c — Outcome 41117499, $713
0x2840...ae07 — Outcome 41117499, $586
0x3f64...452a — Outcome 41117499, $558
0x4343...8dea — Outcome 41117499, $474
0xb280...daef — Outcome 41117499, $386
0x9f3f...3462 — Outcome 41117499, $299

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

ResolvedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 31?$2,942 tracked2 signalsWeatherRecurringHide From NewDaily TemperatureShenzhenRewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (2)Highest temperature

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Notable Trades