Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 semifinal between Aurora Gaming and FURIA at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, resolving to the team that wins the match. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 20, 2026, with $7,008 in smart money tracked across 2 signals. Recent sharp activity has included clusters backing both Aurora Gaming and FURIA, making this a live market to watch for esports odds movement.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

35 smart money signals detected, totaling $273,335.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor flipped to favorite

Sharp wallet with an 81% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $4k of FURIA at 87¢ before the market moved to 94¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $46.9k lifetime.
  • They bought $4k of FURIA at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.
  • They previously closed an Aurora position, suggesting a clear flip toward FURIA.

$4,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp esports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 79% record and +20% edge bought $3.0k of FURIA despite the market moving against FURIA.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $13.4k lifetime.
  • Their results beat typical odds by about 20 points across 33 resolved bets.
  • They bought $3.0k of FURIA at 79¢, showing conviction despite FURIA slipping to 74¢.

$3,008 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

7-wallet underdog cluster

High-score one-sided cluster: 7 wallets, including several profitable serial sports traders, bought Aurora Gaming as a 18–24¢ underdog ahead of the match.

  • Seven wallets all backed Aurora Gaming in the same window, totaling $16.8k on the underdog.
  • Several participants have strong records, including wallets up $1.28M and $714k lifetime.
  • Most entries were around 18–19¢, and Aurora has already moved to about 24¢.

$16,790 on Aurora Gaming

Proven esports sharp buying FURIA

Sharp esports bettor with a 77% record and $261k lifetime profit bought FURIA at 69%, and the market has already moved to 78%.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $261k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 126 events with the same 77% hit rate.
  • FURIA moved from their 69¢ entry to 78¢, suggesting the market is following their side.

$2,200 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 77%

80% winner backing FURIA

Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying FURIA before the price moved from 73% to 78%.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 36 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Bought FURIA at 73¢ before the market moved to 78¢.

$2,905 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial bettor plus cluster

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor is up $240k lifetime with a 63% record across 54 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $7.7k on the underdog side.
  • Entry at 33¢ implies roughly a 3x payout if Aurora wins.

$1,312 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%

87% winner joins Aurora cluster

Sharp 87% lifetime winner bought Aurora at 41¢ amid a 13-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $118.7k lifetime.
  • 13 wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $89.6k in coordinated one-sided flow.
  • Aurora moved from this entry at 41¢ to 46¢ as volume spiked 72x before the match.

$1,018 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp bettor joins linked cluster

A proven profitable esports bettor bought Aurora alongside a 13-wallet one-sided linked cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $99K lifetime.
  • 13 wallets are all buying Aurora, with $89.6K flowing the same way.
  • Entry at 41¢ has already moved to 46¢, backed by a 72x pre-event volume spike.

$2,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

98% winner backing FURIA

Elite 98% win-rate bettor made a $57.8k FURIA buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 45 of 46 resolved trades and is up $658k lifetime.
  • They put $57.8k on FURIA at 60¢, a large fresh position from a proven sports trader.
  • Six wallets are buying the same side, with $95.6k total flowing into FURIA amid a 62x volume spike.

$57,845 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 98%

Coordinated FURIA flow

Strong coordinated one-sided flow into FURIA, with six wallets buying nearly $96k amid a major pre-event volume spike and a serial cross-market bettor joining.

  • Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $95.6k on FURIA.
  • Market activity spiked 61.8x above normal before the match.
  • This wallet has won 81% of 1,419 resolved bets, though lifetime profit is negative.

$3,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x89dd...f662 FURIA, $417,669 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x5966...f804 Aurora Gaming, $135,492 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x1610...ae49 Aurora Gaming, $126,291 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xd3b0...329e Aurora Gaming, $123,000 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x73e3...1be9 FURIA, $100,000 (98% win rate)
  6. 0x79ae...9a4a Aurora Gaming, $64,146 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x6d20...a165 FURIA, $56,625 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xf49c...9786 FURIA, $50,607 (23% win rate)
  9. 0x5877...d894 Aurora Gaming, $41,767 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x67bb...b6ef Aurora Gaming, $40,933 (61% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

0mCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$273,335 tracked35 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Aurora Gaming
6¢
FURIA
95¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “FURIA
98¢
76¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

4h ago

$4,000 on FURIA at 87¢

87¢95¢8¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

4h ago

$3,008 on FURIA at 79¢

79¢95¢16¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

4h ago

$16,790 on Aurora Gaming at 20¢

20¢6¢14¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$2,200 on FURIA at 69¢

69¢95¢26¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$2,905 on FURIA at 73¢

73¢95¢22¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$1,312 on Aurora Gaming at 33¢

33¢6¢27¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$1,018 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$2,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$57,845 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$3,000 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$1,456 on Aurora Gaming at 40¢

40¢6¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

6h ago

$3,139 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

6h ago

$4,913 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

6h ago

$17,125 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

4h ago

$7,633 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

6h ago

$1,300 on Aurora Gaming at 43¢

43¢6¢37¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

7h ago

$10,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

8h ago

$10,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

8h ago

$1,200 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

8h ago

$4,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

8h ago

$2,489 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9h ago

$3,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

10h ago

$3,800 on FURIA at 61¢

61¢95¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

11h ago

$3,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

11h ago

$3,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

11h ago

$1,120 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

11h ago

$6,000 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

12h ago

$48,488 on FURIA at 59¢

59¢95¢36¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

14h ago

$10,000 on Aurora Gaming at 42¢

42¢6¢36¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

14h ago

$5,005 on FURIA at 58¢

58¢95¢37¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

20h ago

$2,000 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

41¢6¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

5h ago

$18,970 on FURIA at 60¢

60¢95¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora Gaming at 43¢

43¢6¢37¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

1d ago

$8,120 on FURIA at 58¢

58¢95¢37¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

1d ago

$2,000 on Aurora Gaming at 43¢

43¢6¢37¢

Related Theses