Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 Semifinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, played as a best-of-three. PolySpotter tracks live odds and smart-money activity for the market, currently showing $1,224 in smart money tracked from 1 signal, with recent alerts involving Aurora clusters and FURIA backing. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 20, 2026, once an official match winner is determined.
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,559.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor plus cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor is up $240k lifetime with a 63% record across 54 resolved bets.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $7.7k on the underdog side.
- Entry at 33¢ implies roughly a 3x payout if Aurora wins.
$1,224 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp bettor flipped to favorite
Sharp wallet with an 81% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $4k of FURIA at 87¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $46.9k lifetime.
- They bought $4k of FURIA at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.
- They previously closed an Aurora position, suggesting a clear flip toward FURIA.
$4,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp esports bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 79% record and +20% edge bought $3.0k of FURIA despite the market moving against FURIA.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $13.4k lifetime.
- Their results beat typical odds by about 20 points across 33 resolved bets.
- They bought $3.0k of FURIA at 79¢, showing conviction despite FURIA slipping to 74¢.
$3,008 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 80%
7-wallet underdog cluster
High-score one-sided cluster: 7 wallets, including several profitable serial sports traders, bought Aurora Gaming as a 18–24¢ underdog ahead of the match.
- Seven wallets all backed Aurora Gaming in the same window, totaling $16.8k on the underdog.
- Several participants have strong records, including wallets up $1.28M and $714k lifetime.
- Most entries were around 18–19¢, and Aurora has already moved to about 24¢.
$16,790 on Aurora Gaming
Proven esports sharp buying FURIA
Sharp esports bettor with a 77% record and $261k lifetime profit bought FURIA at 69%, and the market has already moved to 78%.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $261k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 126 events with the same 77% hit rate.
- FURIA moved from their 69¢ entry to 78¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
$2,200 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 77%
80% winner backing FURIA
Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying FURIA before the price moved from 73% to 78%.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Bought FURIA at 73¢ before the market moved to 78¢.
$2,905 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial bettor plus cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor is up $240k lifetime with a 63% record across 54 resolved bets.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $7.7k on the underdog side.
- Entry at 33¢ implies roughly a 3x payout if Aurora wins.
$1,312 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%
87% winner joins Aurora cluster
Sharp 87% lifetime winner bought Aurora at 41¢ amid a 13-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $118.7k lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $89.6k in coordinated one-sided flow.
- Aurora moved from this entry at 41¢ to 46¢ as volume spiked 72x before the match.
$1,018 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp bettor joins linked cluster
A proven profitable esports bettor bought Aurora alongside a 13-wallet one-sided linked cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $99K lifetime.
- 13 wallets are all buying Aurora, with $89.6K flowing the same way.
- Entry at 41¢ has already moved to 46¢, backed by a 72x pre-event volume spike.
$2,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%
98% winner backing FURIA
Elite 98% win-rate bettor made a $57.8k FURIA buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 45 of 46 resolved trades and is up $658k lifetime.
- They put $57.8k on FURIA at 60¢, a large fresh position from a proven sports trader.
- Six wallets are buying the same side, with $95.6k total flowing into FURIA amid a 62x volume spike.
$57,845 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 20148902, $135,492 (94% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Outcome 20148902, $123,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — Outcome 20148902, $64,146 (100% win rate)
- 0x5877...d894 — Outcome 20148902, $41,767 (92% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Outcome 20148902, $40,933 (61% win rate)
- 0x5faf...1183 — Outcome 20148902, $32,500 (34% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Outcome 20148902, $23,810 (95% win rate)
- 0x4cfd...5c91 — Outcome 20148902, $22,000 (39% win rate)
- 0x0faa...1629 — Outcome 20148902, $20,523
- 0xdcaf...e271 — Outcome 20148902, $20,000 (86% win rate)
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