Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $590,694.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors backing underdog

A high-scoring Aurora-side cluster includes a 93% winning bettor and a $1.3M profitable bettor, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

  • One Aurora buyer wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $139,858 lifetime.
  • Another Aurora buyer is up $1.33M lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved positions.
  • The trade is risky: Aurora has fallen from their 53–60¢ entries to 22¢, while opposing money has pushed Team Falcons higher.

$7,038 on Aurora

Profitable serial bettor plus cluster

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Team Falcons at 45¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a sharp 21-point price move.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 111 resolved trades and is up $89K lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought Team Falcons the same way, totaling $15.3K in one-sided flow.
  • The entry was 45¢ before the market jumped to 78%, suggesting the move followed sharp buying.

$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 83%

6-wallet Falcons momentum

Six wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, driving a sharp 21-point move, though this specific wallet has a mediocre losing track record.

  • 6 wallets bought the same side, totaling $15.3K on Team Falcons.
  • The price jumped 21 points in 5 minutes, suggesting fast one-sided momentum.
  • This wallet flipped after closing an Aurora position, now buying Falcons at 74¢.

$3,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 66%

Six-wallet esports steam

Coordinated one-sided buying from 6 wallets pushed Team Falcons up 21 points in 5 minutes, despite the specific wallet lacking a strong track record.

  • Six wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $15.3K on one side.
  • The market moved fast after the flow, with Falcons jumping 21 percentage points in 5 minutes.
  • This wallet entered at 73¢ before the price moved to 78¢, suggesting it caught the start of the move.

$1,269 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 53%

93% winner backing Aurora

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Aurora, reinforced by serial cross-market success, same-side cluster flow, and favorable post-trade movement.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $139,858 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events with the same 93% hit rate.
  • Three wallets bought Aurora for $7,400 total, and this entry at 53¢ moved to 64¢.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial bettor on Aurora

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 60¢ alongside one-sided wallet flow, with the price already moving to 64¢.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,064 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.78M bet across 575 markets.
  • Three wallets are all buying Aurora, and this entry has already moved from 60¢ to 64¢.

$4,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp six-wallet Falcons cluster

Six wallets bought Team Falcons in size, led by several profitable bettors including a 16-0 wallet, though the price has since dropped sharply below their entries.

  • Six wallets put $15.3K on the same side, with most entries between 64¢ and 80¢.
  • The lead wallet is 16-0 on resolved bets and up $15.5K lifetime.
  • The market has fallen to 36¢, making this much cheaper than the cluster’s average entry but still high-risk.

$15,276 on Team Falcons

Profitable serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $229k lifetime profit bought Aurora before a notable upward move.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $229k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 106 events and 149 markets, with $635k in cross-market activity.
  • Aurora moved from their 87¢ entry to about 91¢, suggesting the market followed their side.

$1,262 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 72%

91% winner backed by cluster

Elite 91% lifetime winner bought Team Falcons at 20¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $365,879 lifetime.
  • Nine wallets bought the same side for about $82,000 total.
  • Entry at 20¢ has already doubled to 40¢, showing strong follow-through.

$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp whale cluster buying Falcons

High-conviction Team Falcons cluster includes a 94% winner and a very large profitable sports wallet, though the market has heavy opposing Aurora flow.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their resolved bets and is up $615K joined the Team Falcons side.
  • Eight wallets put nearly $80K on Team Falcons, including a $53K buy from a wallet up over $20M lifetime.
  • Team Falcons is now around 40%, below the cluster’s average entry near 47%, giving a better price than most of these buyers got.

$79,764 on Team Falcons

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 34619416, $267,146 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x913c...39b3 Outcome 34619416, $17,871 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x08c2...c023 Outcome 34619416, $17,803 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xd525...1815 Outcome 34619416, $10,458 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xe872...819a Outcome 34619416, $9,168 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xbb35...b62a Outcome 34619416, $8,507 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 34619416, $7,921 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xb635...bef0 Outcome 34619416, $7,595 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x5a46...8112 Outcome 34619416, $7,231 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x3601...44fb Outcome 34619416, $5,732 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$590,694 tracked22 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$7,038 on Aurora at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$2,000 on Team Falcons at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$3,000 on Team Falcons at 74¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,269 on Team Falcons at 73¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$4,500 on Aurora at 60¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$15,276 on Team Falcons at 72¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,262 on Aurora at 87¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 20¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$79,764 on Team Falcons at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$66,000 on Aurora at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 52¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,615 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$189,147 on Aurora at 52¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$3,377 on Team Falcons at 50¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$1,318 on Team Falcons at 51¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$53,128 on Team Falcons at 50¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$3,000 on Aurora at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$30,000 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$60,000 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$34,000 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

43d ago

$31,000 on Aurora at 60¢

Related Theses