Part of: Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
This prediction market covers the Paris tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 22, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $16,068 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable tennis and serial sports bettors.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,904.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable tennis whale fade
A highly profitable tennis whale bought Sasnovich at 49¢ while other wallets sold Charaeva, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and sharp price whipsaw.
- The key bettor has won 73% of over 5,600 resolved bets and is up $8.9M lifetime.
- Three wallets put $14K on the Sasnovich side while volume spiked 49x above normal.
- The main copyable entry was Sasnovich at 49¢, but the market has since moved to 22¢, so this is a volatile reversal signal.
$14,058 on Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Elite serial bettor
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $8.9M profit bought Sasnovich at 49%, making the wallet track record the key signal despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 5,687 resolved bets and is up about $8.9M lifetime.
- They are a massive serial sports trader, active across 1,877 markets with over $56M invested.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they saw Sasnovich as close to a coin flip, though the market has since moved down to 38¢.
$2,010 on Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Wallet win rate: 73%
83% winner flips sides
Despite the weak new-wallet signal, this is a proven profitable tennis bettor effectively buying Alina Charaeva at 46¢ after closing a Sasnovich position.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $21.8K lifetime.
- They appear to be moving away from Sasnovich and effectively buying Charaeva at 46¢.
- The wallet has 126 resolved bets, giving this track record more weight than a one-off trade.
$3,286 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% serial sports sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with 83% historical win rate is buying Sasnovich amid a large pre-event volume spike and serial cross-market pattern.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $22k lifetime.
- They have traded across 91 events with the same 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Their $3.2k Sasnovich buy came during a 95x volume spike before the match.
$3,204 on Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial sports bettor spike
A very experienced cross-market tennis bettor put $10k on Alina Charaeva during a sharp pre-event volume and price spike, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has traded 178 events and wins 65% of resolved bets, with over $2M previously invested.
- The $10k buy helped drive Alina Charaeva up 20 percentage points in about 3 minutes.
- Volume surged nearly 95x normal before the match, suggesting fresh momentum behind this side.
$10,000 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 65%
96% winner chasing move
Sharp tennis bettor with a 22-1 resolved record bought Alina Charaeva at 41¢ alongside a rapid 20-point price move.
- This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved bets and is up $45.8K lifetime.
- They bought Alina Charaeva at 41¢, implying they see value versus the current 42% market price.
- The trade came during a fast 20-point move in under 4 minutes, suggesting strong momentum behind the pick.
$2,346 on Alina Charaeva | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 72958725, $4,319 (73% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 72958725, $3,943 (52% win rate)
- 0x664a...fc5f — Outcome 72958725, $3,554
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 72958725, $2,938 (60% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 72958725, $763 (83% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 72958725, $678
- 0xad2a...99a3 — Outcome 72958725, $620
- 0x8165...97b8 — Outcome 72958725, $501
- 0xf7b8...da73 — Outcome 72958725, $500
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 72958725, $485
