Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,166.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New repeat esports whale

A 22-hour-old wallet has now triggered 11 large-bet alerts and is adding another $2.5k FURIA position, but its early resolved record is not yet profitable.

This wallet is only 22 hours old but has already made 11 flagged large bets totaling $32.3k.
They are taking a fresh $2.5k position on FURIA at 55¢ in a liquid esports market.
Track record is still unproven: 3 wins, 3 losses, and down $3.7k so far.

$2,500 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 44%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $585k lifetime profit is taking a $5.3k position on FURIA at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 64% of 583 resolved bets and is up $585k lifetime.
They have traded across 189 events with over $1.16M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable strategy.
The $5.3k buy at 53¢ is meaningful relative to this market’s $12k total volume.

$5,300 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and over $1.1M lifetime profit bought FURIA on a relatively quiet esports handicap market.

This bettor has won 73% of 791 resolved trades and is up about $1.13M lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 46 events, 52 markets, and over $103K in similar positioning.
The $2.4K buy was larger than recent market activity, showing conviction at a 53¢ entry.

$2,366 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 48333048, $10,000 (79% win rate)
0xcc6e...fa6f — Outcome 48333048, $4,697 (66% win rate)
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 48333048, $4,464 (76% win rate)
0x44dd...f476 — Outcome 48333048, $2,721 (100% win rate)
0xde8f...2c72 — Outcome 48333048, $1,846 (64% win rate)
0x31d4...a7ab — Outcome 48333048, $1,800 (66% win rate)
0xb57a...b8c3 — Outcome 48333048, $1,149 (76% win rate)
0x1311...d450 — Outcome 48333048, $1,000 (74% win rate)
0xd4ac...5e19 — Outcome 48333048, $986 (74% win rate)
0xff34...7c04 — Outcome 48333048, $800 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$10,166 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FURIA and Gentle Mates in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than Gentle Mates in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Gentle Mates". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.