Part of: "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,115.

Categories: Movies, Culture, Box Office

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into Yes

A high-volume serial trader added meaningfully to an existing Yes position, driving a sharp repricing in a relatively thin market despite only a modest historical win rate.

  • This trader put $1,115 into Yes, representing 87% of the recent 24-hour volume.
  • The purchase added to an existing Yes position while the market jumped 53.5% in one day.
  • The wallet has traded across 543 markets and is up about $107,000, though its 68% win rate is not exceptionally sharp at these prices.

$1,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 36218931, $4,884
  2. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 36218931, $2,406 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xe2b1...7d2a Outcome 36218931, $2,174 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 36218931, $1,317
  5. 0xe228...1f4c Outcome 36218931, $904 (17% win rate)
  6. 0x9842...5ac8 Outcome 36218931, $816
  7. 0x215a...254c Outcome 36218931, $694
  8. 0x2482...67b1 Outcome 36218931, $400
  9. 0x1547...d066 Outcome 36218931, $400 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x9199...dd2d Outcome 36218931, $340 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran deal lands in July

Covers 8 related markets

Claude 5 launches by April

Covers 4 related markets

Spider-Man grosses $800M–$900M

Covers 2 related markets

The Odyssey finishes $550–570m

Covers 2 related markets

Spider-Man grosses under $900M

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Resolved"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office$1,115 tracked1 signalMoviesCultureBox Office

This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes
99¢
62¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

13d ago

$1,115 on Yes at 86¢

Related Theses