Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,444.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial last-minute bettor
Serial near-close sports bettor with positive P&L bought the Over minutes before lock, though the edge is modest and the market has since moved against them.
- This bettor has made 54 near-close bets across 33 markets and is up $30,722 overall.
- They bought Over at 49¢ just 3 minutes before the listed close, a pattern this wallet repeats often.
- The market has moved to 44¢, so the same side is now available below their entry.
$2,966 on Over | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp sports bettor on Over
Surface: a highly profitable 89% sports bettor and two other wallets bought $9k of Over together near 48–49¢ on an MLB total.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $536k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Over side for $9.0k at 48–49¢.
- The sharp wallet has traded across 26 events with the same 89% hit rate.
$9,007 on Over
89% win-rate sports sharp
Highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate is buying Over 8.5 at 48¢, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $536K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 25 events with the same 89% win rate.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see Over 8.5 as underpriced before first pitch.
$2,400 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
Linked MLB under cluster
Three wallets, including a $1.3M profitable lead account and two linked wallets, bought $31k of Under amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Three wallets bought $31k of Under within seconds, with two wallets sharing the same funder.
- The lead bettor put in $24.1k and is up $1.3M lifetime on Polymarket.
- Market volume spiked 62x before the game, suggesting concentrated pre-event positioning.
$31,070 on Under
Top Holders
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 97147098, $30,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 97147098, $9,525 (89% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 97147098, $4,545 (74% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 97147098, $3,117 (63% win rate)
- 0xbca0...9705 — Outcome 97147098, $1,486 (67% win rate)
- 0xe6fb...ee11 — Outcome 97147098, $1,401
- 0x04b9...79e0 — Outcome 97147098, $1,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 97147098, $745 (73% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 97147098, $500 (65% win rate)
- 0xedf7...8f79 — Outcome 97147098, $365
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