Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Saudi Arabia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $276,306.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
High-conviction Under bet from a profitable serial cross-market trader, reinforced by 13 wallets buying the same side and a major price move to 100%.
- This bettor has won 74% of 218 resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67.3K on one side.
- Under moved from this trader’s 50¢ entry to 100¢ after heavy one-sided buying.
$2,262 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%
13-wallet Under surge
High-score coordinated Under flow with 13 wallets, a 19.6x volume spike, and a 46-point price move, despite the individual wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67K on one side.
- The market saw a 19.6x volume spike and Under jumped 46 percentage points.
- This is a flow signal rather than a sharp-wallet signal; this wallet is 57% lifetime but down overall.
$2,356 on Under | Wallet win rate: 56%
12-wallet Under surge
A large 12-wallet cluster bought Under into a sharp 32-point move, backed by heavy event-wide cross-market activity and a 10.6x volume spike.
- 12 wallets put $51.7K on Under, driving it from much lower entries to 66¢.
- This market saw a 10.6x volume spike and a 32-point move toward Under.
- Several bettors are active across many related markets, including one serial cross-market trader winning 74% over 83 events.
$51,711 on Under
Sharp cluster buying Under
Eight wallets, including two proven high-win bettors and a 99% serial cross-market trader, aggressively moved into Under at much lower prices before the market repriced sharply.
- Eight wallets put $15.9K on Under, moving the market from the low 20¢ range to 40¢.
- One bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $228K lifetime, while another wins 88%.
- The flow spans multiple related markets, suggesting a coordinated game-level thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$15,934 on Under
New whale-led Over cluster
High-conviction clustered buying on Over, led by a new repeat whale and backed by a massive pre-event volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets bought $196K of Over within 68 seconds, led by a single $178K order.
- A 2-day-old repeat whale has now triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling $302K.
- Market volume is exploding at 2,963x its historical average, and Over is up 7 points in the last day.
$196,530 on Over
Profitable 77% sports bettor
Surfaced due to a profitable wallet with a 77% resolved-bet win rate buying Under despite an otherwise modest single-signal alert.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1,589 lifetime.
- They bought $1,050 of Under at 70¢ in a liquid World Cup totals market.
- Their past bets beat average implied odds by about 17 percentage points.
$1,050 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%
88% winner with event thesis
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% resolved hit rate is adding a $6.5k Over 4.5 position as part of a larger $87k same-event thesis.
- This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved positions, far above the prices they usually entered at.
- They have $87k spread across three related markets, suggesting a broader view on this game.
- Buying Over 4.5 at 29¢ is a high-upside bet that Spain and Saudi Arabia combine for 5+ goals.
$6,462 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Over, $778,057 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Over, $82,672 (58% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Over, $38,457 (56% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Over, $22,282 (61% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Over, $13,215 (55% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Over, $5,000 (33% win rate)
- 0x5b75...433b — Over, $4,839 (52% win rate)
- 0xcc48...c120 — Over, $4,486 (97% win rate)
- 0x5a52...5da4 — Over, $3,237 (80% win rate)
- 0x67bf...f983 — Over, $3,125 (65% win rate)
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